Exterran Stock Future Price Prediction

EXTN
 Stock
  

USD 4.58  0.00  0.00%   

Exterran Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Exterran Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Exterran Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Exterran Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Exterran Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Exterran Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Exterran Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Exterran stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Exterran Corp over a specific investment horizon.Using Exterran Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exterran Corp from the perspective of Exterran Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exterran Corp using Exterran Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exterran using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exterran Corp's stock price.
Exterran Corp Inventory Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 4.76. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to rise to 11.17 this year, although the value of Operating Margin will most likely fall to (6.37) .

Exterran Corp Implied Volatility

    
  69.21  
Exterran Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exterran Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exterran Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exterran Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exterran Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Exterran Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exterran Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exterran because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Exterran Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exterran Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Exterran Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.005.388.76
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.008.5010.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exterran Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exterran Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exterran Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Exterran Corp.

Exterran Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Exterran Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exterran Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exterran Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Exterran Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Exterran Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exterran Corp's historical news coverage. Exterran Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.21 and 7.97, respectively. We have considered Exterran Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.58
4.59
After-hype Price
7.97
Upside
Exterran Corp is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exterran Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Exterran Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Exterran Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exterran Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exterran Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  3.38  0.01    0.02  3 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.584.590.22 
2,253  

Exterran Corp Hype Timeline

Exterran Corp is currently traded for 4.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Exterran is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 4.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is anticipated to be 0.22% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Exterran Corp is about 716.1% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.56. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 760.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.47 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
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Exterran Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Exterran Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exterran Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Exterran Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exterran Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Exterran Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Exterran price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exterran using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exterran charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Exterran Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Exterran Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exterran Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exterran Corp based on analysis of Exterran Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exterran Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exterran Corp's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.113.36
Interest Coverage2.722.79

Story Coverage note for Exterran Corp

The number of cover stories for Exterran Corp depends on current market conditions and Exterran Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exterran Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exterran Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Exterran Corp Short Properties

Exterran Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exterran Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exterran Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exterran Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exterran Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.65%
Short Percent Of Float2.31%
Float Shares23.78M
Shares Short Prior Month519.91k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month169.71k
Date Short Interest30th of September 2022
Continue to Investing Opportunities. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Other Tools for Exterran Stock

When running Exterran Corp price analysis, check to measure Exterran Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exterran Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Exterran Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exterran Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exterran Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exterran Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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