Equity Stock Future Price Prediction

ELS
 Stock
  

USD 65.93  0.49  0.74%   

Equity Lifestyle Pro stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Equity Lifestyle shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Equity Lifestyle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Equity Lifestyle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Equity Lifestyle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Equity Lifestyle Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Equity Lifestyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Equity Lifestyle based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Equity stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Equity Lifestyle over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.38
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.47
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.58
Wall Street Target Price
69.2
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.37
Using Equity Lifestyle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equity Lifestyle Properties from the perspective of Equity Lifestyle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Equity Lifestyle using Equity Lifestyle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Equity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Equity Lifestyle's stock price.
Equity Lifestyle Earnings per Basic Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Equity Lifestyle reported last year Earnings per Basic Share of 1.43. As of 12/01/2022, Earnings per Diluted Share is likely to grow to 1.54, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 26.84.

Equity Lifestyle Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Equity Lifestyle's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Equity. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Equity Lifestyle stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Equity Lifestyle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Equity Lifestyle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Equity Lifestyle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
71.42
Short Percent
0.0286
Short Ratio
3.74
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
63.05
Shares Short
4.4 M

Equity Lifestyle Pro Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Equity Lifestyle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Equity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Equity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Equity Lifestyle Properties. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Equity Lifestyle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Equity Lifestyle.

Equity Lifestyle Implied Volatility

    
  43.19  
Equity Lifestyle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Equity Lifestyle Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Equity Lifestyle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Equity Lifestyle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Equity Lifestyle's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Equity Lifestyle. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Equity Lifestyle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Equity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Equity Lifestyle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 65.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Equity contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Equity Lifestyle Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.7% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Equity Lifestyle trading at USD65.93, that is roughly USD1.78. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Equity Lifestyle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Equity Lifestyle Properties options at the current volatility level of 43.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Lifestyle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Equity Lifestyle in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
59.0276.0078.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
63.6465.7567.86
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.0086.5095.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.512.512.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Equity Lifestyle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Equity Lifestyle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Equity Lifestyle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Equity Lifestyle Pro.

Equity Lifestyle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Equity Lifestyle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equity Lifestyle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equity Lifestyle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Equity Lifestyle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Equity Lifestyle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equity Lifestyle's historical news coverage. Equity Lifestyle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.47 and 67.69, respectively. We have considered Equity Lifestyle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 65.93
65.58
After-hype Price
67.69
Upside
Equity Lifestyle is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity Lifestyle Pro is based on 3 months time horizon.

Equity Lifestyle Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Equity Lifestyle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equity Lifestyle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equity Lifestyle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  2.11  0.00   6.79  5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.9365.580.00 
5,275  

Equity Lifestyle Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Equity Lifestyle Pro is traded for 65.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 6.79. Equity expected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Equity Lifestyle is about 1.24%. The volatility of related hype on Equity Lifestyle is about 1.24% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 72.72. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Equity Lifestyle Pro had 2:1 split on the 16th of October 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Continue to Equity Lifestyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Equity Lifestyle Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Equity Lifestyle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equity Lifestyle's future price movements. Getting to know how Equity Lifestyle rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equity Lifestyle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co(2.16) 4 per month 1.27  0.13  4.20 (2.15)  7.57 
BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway 1,191 5 per month 1.22  0.06  3.19 (2.26)  6.26 
SANBanco Santander SA 0.00 2 per month 1.84  0.11  5.04 (3.38)  12.74 
INGVFING Groep NV 3.00 3 per month 2.56  0.14  6.08 (5.45)  13.78 
AIGAmerican International Group(0.19) 6 per month 1.35  0.12  3.64 (2.55)  7.70 
RYRoyal Bank(3.15) 7 per month 1.40  0.0058  3.38 (2.52)  7.27 
CMWAYCommonwealth Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.66  0.0301  3.14 (2.73)  6.65 

Equity Lifestyle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Equity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Equity Lifestyle Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Equity Lifestyle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Equity Lifestyle Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Equity Lifestyle based on analysis of Equity Lifestyle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Equity Lifestyle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Equity Lifestyle's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.932.162.312.72
Interest Coverage3.253.33.52.89

Story Coverage note for Equity Lifestyle

The number of cover stories for Equity Lifestyle depends on current market conditions and Equity Lifestyle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equity Lifestyle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equity Lifestyle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Equity Lifestyle Short Properties

Equity Lifestyle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Equity Lifestyle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equity Lifestyle Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equity Lifestyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Lifestyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192736000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments5008688000.00
Continue to Equity Lifestyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Equity Lifestyle Pro price analysis, check to measure Equity Lifestyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Lifestyle is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Lifestyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Lifestyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Lifestyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Lifestyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Equity Lifestyle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Lifestyle. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Lifestyle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
11.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.099
Return On Assets
0.0501
Return On Equity
20.57
The market value of Equity Lifestyle Pro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Lifestyle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Lifestyle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Lifestyle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Lifestyle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Lifestyle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Equity Lifestyle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Lifestyle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.