EBay Stock Future Price Prediction

EBAY -  USA Stock  

USD 75.97  1.25  1.67%

EBay Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of EBay shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of EBay's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of EBay and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from EBay's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EBay Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to EBay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

EBay Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of EBay based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The EBay stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on EBay over a specific investment horizon. Using EBay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EBay Inc from the perspective of EBay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
EBay Current Ratio is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. EBay reported Current Ratio of 1.80 in 2020. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to rise to 4.77 in 2021, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is likely to drop 24.18 in 2021.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in EBay. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EBay to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EBay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

EBay after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 76.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EBay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EBay in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
69.4071.3583.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
73.1875.1377.08
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0072.8085.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.263.353.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EBay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EBay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EBay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EBay Inc.

EBay After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EBay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EBay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of EBay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

EBay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EBay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EBay's historical news coverage. EBay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.18 and 78.08, respectively. We have considered EBay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
75.97
20th of October 2021
76.13
After-hype Price
78.08
Upside
EBay is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EBay Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

EBay Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as EBay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EBay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EBay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11  1.96  0.16   0.14  12 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
75.9776.130.21 
138.03  

EBay Hype Timeline

EBay Inc is currently traded for 75.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. EBay is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 76.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 138.03%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.21% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on EBay is about 153.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 76.11. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.42 B. Net Income was 2.29 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.8 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 12 days.
Continue to EBay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

EBay Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EBay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EBay's future price movements. Getting to know how EBay rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EBay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

EBay Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EBay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EBay using various technical indicators. When you analyze EBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About EBay Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of EBay stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EBay Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EBay based on analysis of EBay hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EBay's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EBay's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.222.352.172.34
Interest Coverage13.3111.969.19.34

Story Coverage note for EBay

The number of cover stories for EBay depends on current market conditions and EBay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EBay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EBay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

EBay Short Properties

EBay's future price predictability will typically decrease when EBay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EBay Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EBay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EBay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.97%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.66
Short Percent Of Float3.98%
Float Shares624.76M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.83M
Shares Short Prior Month30.05M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.46M
Date Short Interest30th of September 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.88%
Continue to EBay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the EBay Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EBay's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for EBay Stock analysis

When running EBay Inc price analysis, check to measure EBay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EBay is operating at the current time. Most of EBay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EBay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EBay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EBay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of EBay Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EBay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EBay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EBay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EBay Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EBay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EBay value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EBay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.