Daqo New Stock Future Price Prediction

DQ
 Stock
  

USD 51.77  0.11  0.21%   

Daqo New Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Daqo New shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Daqo New's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Daqo New and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Daqo New's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Daqo New Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Daqo New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Daqo New based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Daqo New stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Daqo New over a specific investment horizon.Using Daqo New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Daqo New Energy from the perspective of Daqo New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Daqo New using Daqo New's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Daqo New using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Daqo New's stock price.

Daqo New Implied Volatility

    
  53.97  
Daqo New's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Daqo New Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Daqo New's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Daqo New stock will not fluctuate a lot when Daqo New's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Daqo New. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Daqo New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Daqo New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Daqo New after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 51.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Daqo New contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Daqo New Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.37% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Daqo New trading at $51.77, that is roughly $1.75. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Daqo New's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Daqo New Energy options at the current volatility level of 53.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Daqo New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Daqo New in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.0262.0766.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
45.8650.2154.56
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
44.0078.68139.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.8652.5553.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daqo New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daqo New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daqo New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Daqo New Energy.

Daqo New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Daqo New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Daqo New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Daqo New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Daqo New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Daqo New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Daqo New's historical news coverage. Daqo New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.03 and 55.73, respectively. We have considered Daqo New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 51.77
51.38
After-hype Price
55.73
Upside
Daqo New is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Daqo New Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Daqo New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Daqo New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Daqo New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Daqo New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31  4.35   0.86    0.09  8 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.7751.381.65 
157.04  

Daqo New Hype Timeline

As of September 27, 2022 Daqo New Energy is listed for 51.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.86 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Daqo New is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 51.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 157.04%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -1.65% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Daqo New is about 1553.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 51.68. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.04. Daqo New Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5-1 split on the 17th of November 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Continue to Daqo New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Daqo New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Daqo New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Daqo New's future price movements. Getting to know how Daqo New rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Daqo New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RUNSunrun Inc(0.28) 10 per month 3.89  0.08  7.37 (6.40)  37.56 

Daqo New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Daqo New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Daqo New using various technical indicators. When you analyze Daqo New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Daqo New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Daqo New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Daqo New Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Daqo New based on analysis of Daqo New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Daqo New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Daqo New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Daqo New

The number of cover stories for Daqo New depends on current market conditions and Daqo New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Daqo New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Daqo New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Daqo New Short Properties

Daqo New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Daqo New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Daqo New Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Daqo New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daqo New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.59%
Float Shares57.18M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.37M
Shares Short Prior Month2.24M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.72M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Daqo New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running Daqo New Energy price analysis, check to measure Daqo New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daqo New is operating at the current time. Most of Daqo New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daqo New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daqo New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daqo New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Daqo New's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Daqo New. If investors know Daqo New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Daqo New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Daqo New Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Daqo New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Daqo New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Daqo New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Daqo New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Daqo New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Daqo New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Daqo New value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Daqo New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.