Desktop Stock Future Price Prediction

DM
 Stock
  

USD 2.04  0.01  0.49%   

Desktop Metal stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Desktop Metal shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Desktop Metal's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Desktop Metal and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Desktop Metal's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Desktop Metal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Desktop Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Desktop Metal based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Desktop stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Desktop Metal over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.06) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.41) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.23) 
Wall Street Target Price
3.21
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.08) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.85
Using Desktop Metal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Desktop Metal from the perspective of Desktop Metal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Desktop Metal using Desktop Metal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Desktop using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Desktop Metal's stock price.

Desktop Metal Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Desktop Metal's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Desktop. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Desktop Metal stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Desktop Metal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Desktop Metal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Desktop Metal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
3.03
Short Percent
0.23
Short Ratio
19.19
Shares Short Prior Month
60.9 M
50 Day MA
2.5
Shares Short
61 M

Desktop Metal Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Desktop Metal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Desktop. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Desktop can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Desktop Metal. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Desktop Metal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Desktop Metal.

Desktop Metal Implied Volatility

    
  220.67  
Desktop Metal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Desktop Metal stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Desktop Metal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Desktop Metal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Desktop Metal's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Desktop Metal. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Desktop Metal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Desktop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Desktop Metal after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Desktop Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Desktop Metal in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.234.699.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0431252.167.19
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0012.6716.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.41-0.35-0.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Desktop Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Desktop Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Desktop Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Desktop Metal.

Desktop Metal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Desktop Metal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Desktop Metal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Desktop Metal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Desktop Metal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Desktop Metal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Desktop Metal's historical news coverage. Desktop Metal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.09, respectively. We have considered Desktop Metal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.04
2.06
After-hype Price
7.09
Upside
Desktop Metal is unstable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Desktop Metal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Desktop Metal Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Desktop Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Desktop Metal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Desktop Metal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.60  5.03  0.02    82.11  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.042.060.98 
12,575  

Desktop Metal Hype Timeline

As of November 26, 2022 Desktop Metal is listed for 2.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -82.11. Desktop is expected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.98% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Desktop Metal is about 3.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -80.07. The company generated the yearly revenue of 183.5 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (505.26 M) with gross profit of 20.49 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Desktop Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Desktop Metal Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Desktop Metal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Desktop Metal's future price movements. Getting to know how Desktop Metal rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Desktop Metal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 2.01 8 per month 1.82  0.08  3.65 (2.91)  9.75 
BMYMPBristol Myer Squi 0.00 3 per month 3.23  0.06  10.00 (4.37)  41.47 
AAPLApple Inc 1.95 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.36 (3.77)  11.79 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 1.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.76 (3.86)  11.64 
2881FUBON FINANCIAL HLDG 0.00 0 per month 1.34  0.0012  2.33 (2.00)  6.71 
BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway(1,368) 6 per month 1.30  0.0376  3.19 (2.47)  6.26 
GOOGAlphabet Cl C(3.45) 3 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.70 (4.39)  13.34 
CNQCanadian Natural Resources 0.59 7 per month 2.29  0.0266  4.02 (3.19)  11.52 
UNHUnitedhealth Group(2.17) 8 per month 1.63 (0.0363)  2.07 (2.42)  6.64 
AMZNAmazon Inc(0.50) 10 per month 0.00 (0.18)  4.31 (5.00)  14.52 

Desktop Metal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Desktop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Desktop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Desktop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Desktop Metal Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Desktop Metal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Desktop Metal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Desktop Metal based on analysis of Desktop Metal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Desktop Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Desktop Metal's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Desktop Metal

The number of cover stories for Desktop Metal depends on current market conditions and Desktop Metal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Desktop Metal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Desktop Metal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Desktop Metal Short Properties

Desktop Metal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Desktop Metal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Desktop Metal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Desktop Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Desktop Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out19.68%
Short Percent Of Float23.48%
Float Shares233.82M
Shares Short Prior Month59.15M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.39M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.66M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Continue to Desktop Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Desktop Metal price analysis, check to measure Desktop Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Desktop Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Desktop Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Desktop Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Desktop Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Desktop Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Desktop Metal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Desktop Metal. If investors know Desktop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Desktop Metal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
647.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.85
Return On Assets
(0.13) 
Return On Equity
(0.59) 
The market value of Desktop Metal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Desktop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Desktop Metal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Desktop Metal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Desktop Metal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Desktop Metal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Desktop Metal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Desktop Metal value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Desktop Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.