Diageo Stock Future Price Prediction

DEO -  USA Stock  

USD 206.28  1.27  0.61%

Diageo Plc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Diageo Plc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Diageo Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Diageo Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Diageo Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diageo Plc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Diageo Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Diageo Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Diageo Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Diageo stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Diageo Plc over a specific investment horizon. Using Diageo Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diageo Plc ADR from the perspective of Diageo Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diageo Plc using Diageo Plc's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diageo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diageo Plc's stock price.
Diageo Plc Return on Investment is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Return on Investment is estimated at 20.49. Revenue to Assets is expected to rise to 0.49 this year, although the value of Interest Coverage will most likely fall to 9.16.

Diageo Plc Implied Volatility

    
  7.14  
Diageo Plc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diageo Plc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diageo Plc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diageo Plc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diageo Plc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Diageo Plc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Diageo Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Diageo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Diageo Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 207.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diageo Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Diageo Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
186.80222.50223.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
195.38196.35197.32
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
225.00236.00247.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
204.87207.85210.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Diageo Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Diageo Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Diageo Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Diageo Plc ADR.

Diageo Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Diageo Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diageo Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Diageo Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Diageo Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Diageo Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diageo Plc's historical news coverage. Diageo Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 206.54 and 208.48, respectively. We have considered Diageo Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
206.28
16th of January 2022
206.54
Downside
207.51
After-hype Price
208.48
Upside
Diageo Plc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diageo Plc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Diageo Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Diageo Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diageo Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diageo Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  0.96  0.09   0.00  4 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
206.28207.510.02 
76.80  

Diageo Plc Hype Timeline

On the 16th of January 2022 Diageo Plc ADR is traded for 206.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Diageo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 207.51. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 76.8%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.02% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Diageo Plc is about 13440.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 206.28. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.12. Diageo Plc ADR next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 26th of August 2021. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of October 1991. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Continue to Diageo Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Diageo Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Diageo Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diageo Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Diageo Plc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diageo Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Diageo Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Diageo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diageo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diageo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Diageo Plc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Diageo Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Diageo Plc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Diageo Plc based on analysis of Diageo Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Diageo Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Diageo Plc's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.181.871.681.44
Interest Coverage6.4210.729.659.16

Story Coverage note for Diageo Plc

The number of cover stories for Diageo Plc depends on current market conditions and Diageo Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diageo Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diageo Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Diageo Plc Short Properties

Diageo Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diageo Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diageo Plc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diageo Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diageo Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.07%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.73
Float Shares581.92M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day210.36k
Shares Short Prior Month353.39k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month231.32k
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.34%
Continue to Diageo Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Diageo Plc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Diageo Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Is Diageo Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diageo Plc. If investors know Diageo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diageo Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Diageo Plc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diageo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diageo Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diageo Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diageo Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diageo Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diageo Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Diageo Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diageo Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.