Deere Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 334.22  11.91  3.44%   

Deere Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Deere shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Deere's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Deere and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Deere's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deere Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Deere based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Deere stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Deere over a specific investment horizon.Using Deere hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deere Company from the perspective of Deere response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Deere using Deere's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Deere using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Deere's stock price.

Deere Implied Volatility

Deere's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Deere Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Deere's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Deere stock will not fluctuate a lot when Deere's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Deere. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deere to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deere because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Deere after-hype prediction price

  $ 334.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Deere contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Deere Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.66% per day over the life of the 2022-09-30 option contract. With Deere trading at $334.22, that is roughly $8.88. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Deere's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Deere Company options at the current volatility level of 42.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deere's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Deere in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
16 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deere. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deere's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deere's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Deere Company.

Deere After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Deere at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deere or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deere, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Deere Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Deere's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deere's historical news coverage. Deere's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 332.81 and 336.41, respectively. We have considered Deere's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 334.22
After-hype Price
Deere is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deere Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Deere Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Deere is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deere backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deere, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.11  1.80  0.39   0.00  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Deere Hype Timeline

As of September 24, 2022 Deere Company is listed for 334.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.39 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Deere is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 334.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 50.14%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Deere is about 18000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 334.22. The company generated the yearly revenue of 45.72 B. Reported Net Income was 5.95 B with gross profit of 12.19 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Continue to Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deere Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Deere's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deere's future price movements. Getting to know how Deere rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deere may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
BSHVFBUSHVELD MINERALS LTD(0.01) 3 per month 16.82  0.14  85.71 (46.15)  273.33 

Deere Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Deere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Deere Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Deere stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deere Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deere based on analysis of Deere hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deere's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deere's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Deere

The number of cover stories for Deere depends on current market conditions and Deere's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deere is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deere's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Deere Short Properties

Deere's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deere's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deere Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deere's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deere's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.92%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.04
Short Percent Of Float0.92%
Float Shares285.38M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.29M
Shares Short Prior Month2.64M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.45M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.88%
Continue to Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Deere Company information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Deere's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running Deere Company price analysis, check to measure Deere's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deere is operating at the current time. Most of Deere's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deere's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deere's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deere to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Deere's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deere. If investors know Deere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deere listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Deere Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deere's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deere's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deere's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deere's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deere's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Deere value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deere's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.