Duck Creek Stock Future Price Prediction

DCT
 Stock
  

USD 14.14  0.34  2.46%   

Duck Creek Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Duck Creek shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Duck Creek's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Duck Creek and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Duck Creek's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Duck Creek Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Duck Creek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Duck Creek based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Duck Creek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Duck Creek over a specific investment horizon.Using Duck Creek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duck Creek Technologies from the perspective of Duck Creek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Duck Creek Interest Coverage is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Duck Creek reported Interest Coverage of 1.69 in 2021. Long Term Debt to Equity is likely to gain to 1.07 in 2022, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is likely to drop 2.09 in 2022.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Duck Creek. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Duck Creek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Duck Creek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Duck Creek after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 14.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duck Creek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Duck Creek in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.7320.2924.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.9714.3218.67
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.0041.3050.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.020.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Duck Creek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Duck Creek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Duck Creek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Duck Creek Technologies.

Duck Creek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Duck Creek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duck Creek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Duck Creek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Duck Creek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Duck Creek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duck Creek's historical news coverage. Duck Creek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.78 and 18.48, respectively. We have considered Duck Creek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 14.14
14.13
After-hype Price
18.48
Upside
Duck Creek is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duck Creek Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Duck Creek Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Duck Creek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duck Creek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duck Creek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03  4.35   0.01    0.09  4 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.1414.130.07 
1,977  

Duck Creek Hype Timeline

On the 9th of August Duck Creek Technologies is traded for 14.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Duck Creek is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 14.13. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.07% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Duck Creek is about 143.38% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.05. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Duck Creek was currently reported as 5.54. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Duck Creek Technologies next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 28th of June 2018. The entity had 1:4 split on the 18th of November 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Continue to Duck Creek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Duck Creek Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Duck Creek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duck Creek's future price movements. Getting to know how Duck Creek rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duck Creek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HUBSHubspot(19.16) 9 per month 5.63  0.0302  8.08 (8.37)  24.38 
FTFTFuture Fintech Group 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  10.42 (8.33)  29.73 
LZBLa-Z-Boy 0.63 7 per month 2.33  0.06  3.67 (4.47)  13.54 
TATT Inc(0.69) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0458)  2.00 (2.45)  10.60 
MRKMerck Company(2.56) 9 per month 1.26  0.05  1.83 (2.50)  6.96 
CATCaterpillar(2.09) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.82 (4.35)  11.37 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(2.70) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0441)  3.03 (2.51)  10.79 
MCDMcDonalds Corp(1.49) 11 per month 1.19  0.06  2.22 (1.70)  5.13 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.20) 9 per month 0.00 (0.1)  5.50 (6.00)  17.64 
CVXChevron Corp(2.11) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0181)  3.06 (4.57)  11.62 

Duck Creek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Duck Creek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duck Creek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duck Creek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Duck Creek Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Duck Creek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Duck Creek Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duck Creek based on analysis of Duck Creek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Duck Creek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Duck Creek's related companies.
 2016 2017 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.870.881.07
Interest Coverage1.71.881.83

Story Coverage note for Duck Creek

The number of cover stories for Duck Creek depends on current market conditions and Duck Creek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duck Creek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duck Creek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Duck Creek Short Properties

Duck Creek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duck Creek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duck Creek Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duck Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duck Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.45%
Short Percent Of Float5.28%
Float Shares75.59M
Shares Short Prior Month2.06M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day520k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month947.1k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Duck Creek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Duck Creek Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Duck Creek's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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Is Duck Creek's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duck Creek. If investors know Duck Creek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duck Creek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Duck Creek Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duck Creek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duck Creek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duck Creek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duck Creek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duck Creek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duck Creek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Duck Creek value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duck Creek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.