Dada Nexus Stock Future Price Prediction

DADA
 Stock
  

USD 4.65  0.31  7.14%   

Dada Nexus stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Dada Nexus shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Dada Nexus' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dada Nexus and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dada Nexus' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dada Nexus, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Dada Nexus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Dada Nexus based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Dada Nexus stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Dada Nexus over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.13) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.79) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.26
Wall Street Target Price
10.41
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.18) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.41
Using Dada Nexus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dada Nexus from the perspective of Dada Nexus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dada Nexus using Dada Nexus' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dada Nexus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dada Nexus' stock price.

Dada Nexus Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Dada Nexus' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dada Nexus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dada Nexus stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Dada Nexus may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dada Nexus and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dada Nexus with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.88
Short Percent
0.0513
Short Ratio
2.81
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
4.35
Shares Short
2.3 M

Dada Nexus Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Dada Nexus' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Dada Nexus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dada Nexus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dada Nexus. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dada Nexus' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dada Nexus.

Dada Nexus Implied Volatility

    
  26.0  
Dada Nexus' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dada Nexus stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dada Nexus' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dada Nexus stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dada Nexus' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Dada Nexus. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dada Nexus to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dada Nexus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Dada Nexus after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dada Nexus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Dada Nexus in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.1912.9719.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.094.7111.44
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.6038.6048.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.78-1.67-1.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dada Nexus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dada Nexus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dada Nexus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Dada Nexus.

Dada Nexus After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dada Nexus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dada Nexus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dada Nexus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dada Nexus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dada Nexus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dada Nexus' historical news coverage. Dada Nexus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.24 and 11.44, respectively. We have considered Dada Nexus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.65
4.71
After-hype Price
11.44
Upside
Dada Nexus is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dada Nexus is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dada Nexus Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Dada Nexus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dada Nexus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dada Nexus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36  6.73  0.06    0.36  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.654.711.29 
3,959  

Dada Nexus Hype Timeline

Dada Nexus is currently traded for 4.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Dada Nexus is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 4.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.29% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Dada Nexus is about 673.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.29. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.73 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Continue to Dada Nexus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Dada Nexus Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dada Nexus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dada Nexus' future price movements. Getting to know how Dada Nexus rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dada Nexus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Dada Nexus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dada Nexus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dada Nexus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dada Nexus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Dada Nexus Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Dada Nexus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dada Nexus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dada Nexus based on analysis of Dada Nexus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dada Nexus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dada Nexus's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Dada Nexus

The number of cover stories for Dada Nexus depends on current market conditions and Dada Nexus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dada Nexus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dada Nexus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dada Nexus Short Properties

Dada Nexus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dada Nexus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dada Nexus often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dada Nexus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dada Nexus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.82%
Float Shares78.82M
Shares Short Prior Month2.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.33M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month932.88k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Continue to Dada Nexus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Dada Nexus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dada Nexus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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Is Dada Nexus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dada Nexus. If investors know Dada Nexus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dada Nexus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.41
Return On Assets
(0.19) 
Return On Equity
(0.37) 
The market value of Dada Nexus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dada Nexus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dada Nexus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dada Nexus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dada Nexus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dada Nexus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dada Nexus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Dada Nexus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dada Nexus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.