CTO Realty Stock Future Price Prediction

CTO
 Stock
  

USD 19.30  0.24  1.26%   

CTO Realty Growth stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CTO Realty shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CTO Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CTO Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CTO Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CTO Realty Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to CTO Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CTO Realty based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CTO Realty stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CTO Realty over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.01
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.08
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.05) 
Wall Street Target Price
24.29
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.09
Using CTO Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CTO Realty Growth from the perspective of CTO Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
CTO Realty Accrued Expenses Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 8.39. Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to rise to 14.76 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 41.06.

CTO Realty Growth Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CTO Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in CTO Realty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CTO Realty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CTO Realty Growth. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CTO Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CTO Realty.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CTO Realty. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CTO Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CTO Realty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CTO Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CTO Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CTO Realty in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.5030.5732.82
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
60.0064.0067.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.783.793.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CTO Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CTO Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CTO Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CTO Realty Growth.

CTO Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CTO Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CTO Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CTO Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CTO Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CTO Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CTO Realty's historical news coverage. CTO Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.23 and 21.73, respectively. We have considered CTO Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 19.30
19.48
After-hype Price
21.73
Upside
CTO Realty is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CTO Realty Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

CTO Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CTO Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CTO Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CTO Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05  2.25  0.04    0.07  5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.3019.480.21 
258.62  

CTO Realty Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of December CTO Realty Growth is traded for 19.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. CTO Realty is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 19.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.21% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on CTO Realty is about 161.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.23. The company reported the last year's revenue of 70.27 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 29.94 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 47.84 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Continue to CTO Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CTO Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CTO Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CTO Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how CTO Realty rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CTO Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LINLinde PLC(4.50) 7 per month 1.22  0.09  3.81 (2.02)  7.54 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 8 per month 0.95  0.0348  1.78 (1.57)  5.47 
BUDFFAnheuser-Busch InBev SANV 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.1  3.65 (2.86)  7.80 
IBMInternational Business Machines 0.54 9 per month 1.12  0.08  2.79 (2.32)  6.45 
ETSYEtsy Inc(1.04) 9 per month 3.73  0.09  6.13 (6.32)  20.97 
INTCIntel(0.58) 1 per month 0.00 (0.06)  4.33 (3.46)  14.49 
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co 2.09 1 per month 1.30  0.09  4.20 (2.15)  7.57 
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev 0.44 1 per month 1.56  0.1  3.45 (2.77)  8.01 
HDHome Depot(9.29) 1 per month 1.80  0.0392  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 

CTO Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CTO Realty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CTO Realty using various technical indicators. When you analyze CTO Realty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CTO Realty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CTO Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CTO Realty Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CTO Realty based on analysis of CTO Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CTO Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CTO Realty's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate22.1224.9
Long Term Debt to Equity0.270.29

Story Coverage note for CTO Realty

The number of cover stories for CTO Realty depends on current market conditions and CTO Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CTO Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CTO Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CTO Realty Short Properties

CTO Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when CTO Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CTO Realty Growth often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CTO Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CTO Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17676810.00
Cash And Short Term Investments49652000.00
Continue to CTO Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running CTO Realty Growth price analysis, check to measure CTO Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CTO Realty is operating at the current time. Most of CTO Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CTO Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CTO Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CTO Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CTO Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CTO Realty. If investors know CTO Realty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CTO Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
Market Capitalization
394.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.4
Return On Assets
0.0159
Return On Equity
0.77
The market value of CTO Realty Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CTO Realty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CTO Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CTO Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CTO Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CTO Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CTO Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CTO Realty value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CTO Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.