Credit Stock Future Price Prediction

CS
 Stock
  

USD 5.78  0.09  1.53%   

Credit Suisse Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Credit Suisse shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Credit Suisse's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Credit Suisse and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Credit Suisse's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Credit Suisse Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Credit Suisse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Credit Suisse based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Credit stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Credit Suisse over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.25
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.65
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.7
Wall Street Target Price
6.79
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.16
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Using Credit Suisse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Credit Suisse Group from the perspective of Credit Suisse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Credit Suisse using Credit Suisse's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Credit using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Credit Suisse's stock price.
Credit Suisse Price to Sales Ratio is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Credit Suisse reported last year Price to Sales Ratio of 0.93. As of 06/29/2022, Sales per Share is likely to grow to 11.50, while Earnings per Basic Share are likely to drop (0.69) .

Credit Suisse Implied Volatility

    
  40.97  
Credit Suisse's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Credit Suisse Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Credit Suisse's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Credit Suisse stock will not fluctuate a lot when Credit Suisse's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Credit Suisse. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Credit Suisse to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Credit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Credit Suisse after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 5.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Credit Suisse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Credit Suisse in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.507.229.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.476.208.92
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.509.509.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.250.621.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Credit Suisse. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Credit Suisse's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Credit Suisse's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Credit Suisse Group.

Credit Suisse After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Credit Suisse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Credit Suisse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Credit Suisse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Credit Suisse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Credit Suisse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Credit Suisse's historical news coverage. Credit Suisse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.13 and 8.57, respectively. We have considered Credit Suisse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 5.78
5.85
After-hype Price
8.57
Upside
Credit Suisse is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Credit Suisse Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Credit Suisse Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Credit Suisse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Credit Suisse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Credit Suisse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41  2.70   0.02    2.46  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.785.850.34 
4,500  

Credit Suisse Hype Timeline

As of June 29, 2022 Credit Suisse Group is listed for 5.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.46. Credit is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 5.85. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.34% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Credit Suisse is about 45.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 3.32. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Credit Suisse Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 170.91. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 9th of May 2022. The firm had 1024:1000 split on the 1st of May 2013. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Continue to Credit Suisse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Credit Suisse Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Credit Suisse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Credit Suisse's future price movements. Getting to know how Credit Suisse rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Credit Suisse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BACBank Of America 0.16 3 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.38 (3.49)  9.79 
BCSBarclays Plc ADR 0.07 4 per month 0.00 (0.0072)  3.71 (4.17)  10.61 
BKGMBankguam Holding CO(0.06) 3 per month 0.40  0.26  1.42 (0.43)  16.97 
BMOBank Of Montreal 0.30 19 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.11 (2.87)  5.92 
BNSBank Of Nova(0.36) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.88 (2.66)  6.10 
CCitigroup(1.29) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0281)  3.52 (3.35)  12.09 
CMCanadian Imperial Bank(52.25) 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.07 (3.34)  6.23 
EWBCEast West Bancorp(0.56) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0333)  3.73 (4.89)  12.15 
HSBCHSBC Holdings Plc 0.08 9 per month 0.00  0.06  3.93 (3.17)  9.62 

Credit Suisse Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Credit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Credit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Credit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Credit Suisse Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Credit Suisse stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Credit Suisse Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Credit Suisse based on analysis of Credit Suisse hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Credit Suisse's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Credit Suisse's related companies.
 2020 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share17.5219.46
Asset Turnover0.0280.0309

Story Coverage note for Credit Suisse

The number of cover stories for Credit Suisse depends on current market conditions and Credit Suisse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Credit Suisse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Credit Suisse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Credit Suisse Short Properties

Credit Suisse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Credit Suisse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Credit Suisse Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Credit Suisse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Credit Suisse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.48%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.29
Float Shares2.2B
Shares Short Prior Month12.29M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day24.51M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15.04M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.95%
Continue to Credit Suisse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Credit Suisse Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Credit Suisse's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Credit Stock analysis

When running Credit Suisse Group price analysis, check to measure Credit Suisse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Credit Suisse is operating at the current time. Most of Credit Suisse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Credit Suisse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Credit Suisse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Credit Suisse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Credit Suisse's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Credit Suisse. If investors know Credit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Credit Suisse listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.25
Market Capitalization
15.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
-0.0021
Return On Equity
-0.0373
The market value of Credit Suisse Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Credit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Credit Suisse's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Credit Suisse's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Credit Suisse's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Credit Suisse's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Credit Suisse's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Credit Suisse value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Credit Suisse's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.