Capri Stock Future Price Prediction

CPRI
 Stock
  

USD 59.08  0.38  0.65%   

Capri Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Capri Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Capri Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Capri Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Capri Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capri Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Capri Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Capri Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Capri stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Capri Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.25
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.43
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.96
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.57
Wall Street Target Price
63.34
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.54
Using Capri Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capri Holdings from the perspective of Capri Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capri Holdings using Capri Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capri using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capri Holdings' stock price.

Capri Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  45.2  
Capri Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capri Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capri Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capri Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capri Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Capri Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capri Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capri because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Capri Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 58.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Capri contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Capri Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.83% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With Capri Holdings trading at USD59.08, that is roughly USD1.67. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Capri Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Capri Holdings options at the current volatility level of 45.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capri Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Capri Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
56.5559.8863.21
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
58.0077.5090.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.305.345.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capri Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capri Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capri Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Capri Holdings.

Capri Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Capri Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capri Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capri Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Capri Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Capri Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capri Holdings' historical news coverage. Capri Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.37 and 62.03, respectively. We have considered Capri Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 59.08
58.70
After-hype Price
62.03
Upside
Capri Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capri Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Capri Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Capri Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capri Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capri Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.44  3.33  0.00   0.92  0 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.0858.700.00 
0.00  

Capri Holdings Hype Timeline

Capri Holdings is currently traded for 59.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.92. Capri projected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Capri Holdings is about 159.52%. The volatility of related hype on Capri Holdings is about 159.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 60.0. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Capri Holdings was currently reported as 16.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. Capri Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.98. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Continue to Capri Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Capri Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Capri Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capri Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Capri Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capri Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCBrunswick(0.28) 7 per month 2.63 (0.0268)  3.75 (4.50)  14.79 
BLDTopbuild Corp 0.86 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.75 (6.01)  14.22 
BZHBeazer Homes USA(0.69) 5 per month 3.65 (0.0191)  7.18 (6.28)  21.33 
CCSCentury Communities 0.46 5 per month 3.12  0.0287  6.68 (5.28)  19.33 
CLARClarus Corp 0.66 5 per month 0.00 (0.20)  5.72 (6.25)  29.54 
CROXCrocs Inc(1.45) 6 per month 3.80  0.11  7.08 (6.46)  22.97 
CULPCulp Inc(0.01) 8 per month 1.84  0.0156  4.39 (3.06)  14.04 
DECKDeckers Outdoor 17.15 7 per month 2.29  0.08  4.56 (4.05)  11.84 

Capri Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Capri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Capri Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Capri Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capri Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capri Holdings based on analysis of Capri Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capri Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capri Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Capri Holdings

The number of cover stories for Capri Holdings depends on current market conditions and Capri Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capri Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capri Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Capri Holdings Short Properties

Capri Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Capri Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capri Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capri Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capri Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152497907.00
Cash And Short Term Investments169000000.00
Continue to Capri Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Capri Holdings price analysis, check to measure Capri Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capri Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Capri Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capri Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capri Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capri Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Capri Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capri Holdings. If investors know Capri will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capri Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.25
Market Capitalization
7.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.086
Return On Assets
0.0864
Return On Equity
0.35
The market value of Capri Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capri that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capri Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capri Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capri Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capri Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capri Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capri Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capri Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.