Chicos Stock Future Price Prediction

CHS
 Stock
  

USD 5.62  0.07  1.26%   

Chicos FAS stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Chicos FAS shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Chicos FAS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chicos FAS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chicos FAS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chicos FAS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Chicos FAS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Chicos FAS based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Chicos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chicos FAS over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.33
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.37
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.43
Wall Street Target Price
7.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Using Chicos FAS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chicos FAS from the perspective of Chicos FAS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chicos FAS using Chicos FAS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chicos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chicos FAS's stock price.
Chicos FAS Dividend Yield is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Chicos FAS reported last year Dividend Yield of 0.018. As of 12/02/2022, Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.73, while Dividends per Basic Common Share is likely to drop 0.21.

Chicos FAS Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Chicos FAS's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Chicos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Chicos FAS stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Chicos FAS may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chicos FAS and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chicos FAS with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.31
Short Percent
0.15
Short Ratio
7.19
Shares Short Prior Month
14.5 M
50 Day MA
5.64
Shares Short
15.1 M

Chicos FAS Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Chicos FAS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Chicos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chicos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chicos FAS. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chicos FAS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chicos FAS.

Chicos FAS Implied Volatility

    
  59.05  
Chicos FAS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chicos FAS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chicos FAS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chicos FAS stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chicos FAS's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Chicos FAS. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chicos FAS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chicos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chicos FAS after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chicos FAS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Chicos FAS in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.735.589.43
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.006.006.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.370.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chicos FAS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chicos FAS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chicos FAS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Chicos FAS.

Chicos FAS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chicos FAS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chicos FAS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chicos FAS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chicos FAS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chicos FAS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chicos FAS's historical news coverage. Chicos FAS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.77 and 9.47, respectively. We have considered Chicos FAS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 5.62
5.62
After-hype Price
9.47
Upside
Chicos FAS is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chicos FAS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chicos FAS Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Chicos FAS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chicos FAS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chicos FAS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.15  3.84  0.00    0.06  4 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.625.620.18 
38,400  

Chicos FAS Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of December Chicos FAS is traded for 5.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Chicos is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 5.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.18% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Chicos FAS is about 944.26% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.81 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 46.22 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 664 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Continue to Chicos FAS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chicos FAS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chicos FAS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chicos FAS's future price movements. Getting to know how Chicos FAS rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chicos FAS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BUDAnheuser Busch Inbev 0.44 1 per month 1.56  0.1  3.45 (2.77)  8.01 
ETSYEtsy Inc(1.04) 9 per month 3.73  0.09  6.13 (6.32)  20.97 
BUDFFAnheuser-Busch InBev SANV 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.1  3.65 (2.86)  7.80 
LINLinde PLC(4.50) 7 per month 1.22  0.09  3.81 (2.02)  7.54 
DISWalt Disney(1.71) 7 per month 0.00 (0.1)  4.28 (3.22)  17.60 
KOCoca-Cola Co 0.20 1 per month 1.17 (0.0424)  2.40 (1.60)  5.09 
CSCOCisco Systems(0.35) 1 per month 1.34  0.0325  3.23 (1.96)  6.31 
PGProcter Gamble 3.51 1 per month 1.15 (0.0074)  1.83 (2.07)  4.27 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 8 per month 0.95  0.0348  1.78 (1.57)  5.47 

Chicos FAS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chicos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chicos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chicos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chicos FAS Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chicos FAS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chicos FAS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chicos FAS based on analysis of Chicos FAS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chicos FAS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chicos FAS's related companies.
 2010 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.08020.71
Interest Coverage123.711.97

Story Coverage note for Chicos FAS

The number of cover stories for Chicos FAS depends on current market conditions and Chicos FAS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chicos FAS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chicos FAS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chicos FAS Short Properties

Chicos FAS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chicos FAS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chicos FAS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chicos FAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicos FAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122341000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments115105000.00
Continue to Chicos FAS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Chicos FAS information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Chicos FAS's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running Chicos FAS price analysis, check to measure Chicos FAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chicos FAS is operating at the current time. Most of Chicos FAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chicos FAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chicos FAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chicos FAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chicos FAS's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chicos FAS. If investors know Chicos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chicos FAS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.33
Market Capitalization
742.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.0796
Return On Equity
42.03
The market value of Chicos FAS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chicos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chicos FAS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chicos FAS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chicos FAS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chicos FAS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chicos FAS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Chicos FAS value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chicos FAS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.