Crown Stock Future Price Prediction

CCI
 Stock
  

USD 145.77  4.59  3.05%   

Crown Castle stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Crown Castle shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Crown Castle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Crown Castle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Crown Castle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crown Castle, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Crown Castle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Crown Castle based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Crown stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Crown Castle over a specific investment horizon.Using Crown Castle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Castle from the perspective of Crown Castle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crown Castle using Crown Castle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crown Castle's stock price.

Crown Castle Implied Volatility

    
  37.29  
Crown Castle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crown Castle stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crown Castle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crown Castle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crown Castle's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Crown Castle. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crown Castle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Crown Castle after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 146.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Crown contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Crown Castle will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.33% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Crown Castle trading at $145.77, that is roughly $3.4. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Crown Castle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Crown Castle options at the current volatility level of 37.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Castle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Crown Castle in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
131.19179.46181.13
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
162.00203.82224.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crown Castle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crown Castle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crown Castle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Crown Castle.

Crown Castle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crown Castle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown Castle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crown Castle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Crown Castle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crown Castle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown Castle's historical news coverage. Crown Castle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.55 and 147.89, respectively. We have considered Crown Castle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 145.77
144.55
Downside
146.22
After-hype Price
147.89
Upside
Crown Castle is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown Castle is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crown Castle Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Crown Castle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown Castle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown Castle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24  1.62  0.25   0.50  10 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
145.77146.220.31 
155.77  

Crown Castle Hype Timeline

On the 5th of October Crown Castle is traded for 145.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Crown is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 146.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 155.77%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.31% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Crown Castle is about 77.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 146.27. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.75 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.54 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.35 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Continue to Crown Castle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Crown Castle Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crown Castle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown Castle's future price movements. Getting to know how Crown Castle rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown Castle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc 2.10 11 per month 2.46  0.06  4.00 (3.62)  17.42 

Crown Castle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Crown Castle Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Crown Castle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crown Castle, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crown Castle based on analysis of Crown Castle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crown Castle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crown Castle's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Crown Castle

The number of cover stories for Crown Castle depends on current market conditions and Crown Castle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown Castle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown Castle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Crown Castle Short Properties

Crown Castle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crown Castle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crown Castle often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crown Castle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Castle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.22%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.06
Short Percent Of Float1.41%
Float Shares430.41M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.93M
Shares Short Prior Month5.91M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.43M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.43%
Continue to Crown Castle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Crown Castle information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Crown Castle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Crown Stock analysis

When running Crown Castle price analysis, check to measure Crown Castle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown Castle is operating at the current time. Most of Crown Castle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown Castle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown Castle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown Castle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Crown Castle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crown Castle. If investors know Crown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crown Castle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Crown Castle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crown Castle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crown Castle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crown Castle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crown Castle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crown Castle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Crown Castle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crown Castle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.