Companhia Stock Future Price Prediction

CBD
 Stock
  

USD 3.60  0.20  5.88%   

Companhia Brasileira stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Companhia Brasileira shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Companhia Brasileira's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Companhia Brasileira and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Companhia Brasileira's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Companhia Brasileira DE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Companhia Brasileira Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Companhia Brasileira based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Companhia stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Companhia Brasileira over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
11.37
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.35
Wall Street Target Price
5.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.093
Using Companhia Brasileira hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Brasileira DE from the perspective of Companhia Brasileira response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Companhia Brasileira using Companhia Brasileira's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Companhia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Companhia Brasileira's stock price.
Companhia Brasileira Debt to Equity Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Debt to Equity Ratio was at 2.42. The current year Dividends per Basic Common Share is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Current Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.02.

Companhia Brasileira Implied Volatility

    
  21.55  
Companhia Brasileira's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Companhia Brasileira DE stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Companhia Brasileira's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Companhia Brasileira stock will not fluctuate a lot when Companhia Brasileira's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Companhia Brasileira. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Companhia Brasileira to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Companhia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Companhia Brasileira after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 3.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Companhia Brasileira's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Companhia Brasileira in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.314.688.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.363.727.09
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.506.258.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.991.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia Brasileira. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia Brasileira's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia Brasileira's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Companhia Brasileira.

Companhia Brasileira After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Companhia Brasileira at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Brasileira or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Brasileira, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Companhia Brasileira Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Companhia Brasileira's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Brasileira's historical news coverage. Companhia Brasileira's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 6.96, respectively. We have considered Companhia Brasileira's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 3.60
3.59
After-hype Price
6.96
Upside
Companhia Brasileira is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Brasileira is based on 3 months time horizon.

Companhia Brasileira Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Companhia Brasileira is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Brasileira backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Brasileira, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20  3.37   0.01    0.01  5 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.603.590.28 
11,233  

Companhia Brasileira Hype Timeline

On the 12th of August 2022 Companhia Brasileira is traded for 3.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Companhia is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 3.59. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.28% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Brasileira is about 11233.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 3.59. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Companhia Brasileira last dividend was issued on the 6th of May 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of October 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Continue to Companhia Brasileira Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Companhia Brasileira Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Brasileira's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Brasileira's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Brasileira rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Brasileira may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Companhia Brasileira Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Companhia Brasileira Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Companhia Brasileira stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Companhia Brasileira DE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Companhia Brasileira based on analysis of Companhia Brasileira hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Companhia Brasileira's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Companhia Brasileira's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share50.7751.150.8653.53
Asset Turnover0.480.921.00.97

Story Coverage note for Companhia Brasileira

The number of cover stories for Companhia Brasileira depends on current market conditions and Companhia Brasileira's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Brasileira is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Brasileira's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Companhia Brasileira Short Properties

Companhia Brasileira's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Brasileira's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Brasileira DE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Brasileira's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Brasileira's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.45%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.18
Float Shares157.04M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.09M
Shares Short Prior Month1.2M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.02M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield68.89%
Continue to Companhia Brasileira Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Companhia Brasileira information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Companhia Brasileira's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Companhia Brasileira price analysis, check to measure Companhia Brasileira's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Brasileira is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Brasileira's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Brasileira's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Brasileira's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Brasileira to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Companhia Brasileira's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Companhia Brasileira. If investors know Companhia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Companhia Brasileira listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
11.37
Market Capitalization
976.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.093
Return On Assets
0.0263
Return On Equity
0.0364
The market value of Companhia Brasileira is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Companhia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Companhia Brasileira's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Companhia Brasileira's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Companhia Brasileira's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Companhia Brasileira's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Companhia Brasileira's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Companhia Brasileira value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Companhia Brasileira's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.