Baozun Stock Future Price Prediction

BZUN
 Stock
  

USD 6.33  0.24  3.65%   

Baozun Inc ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Baozun Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Baozun Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Baozun Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Baozun Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Baozun Inc ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Baozun Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Baozun Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Baozun stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Baozun Inc over a specific investment horizon.Using Baozun Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Baozun Inc ADR from the perspective of Baozun Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Baozun Inc using Baozun Inc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Baozun using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Baozun Inc's stock price.

Baozun Inc Implied Volatility

    
  20.46  
Baozun Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Baozun Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Baozun Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Baozun Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Baozun Inc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Baozun Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Baozun Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Baozun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Baozun Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baozun Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Baozun Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.7010.9314.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.225.859.48
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.3024.8241.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.076.587.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baozun Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baozun Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baozun Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Baozun Inc ADR.

Baozun Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Baozun Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Baozun Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Baozun Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Baozun Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Baozun Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Baozun Inc's historical news coverage. Baozun Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.08 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered Baozun Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 6.33
6.71
After-hype Price
10.34
Upside
Baozun Inc is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Baozun Inc ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Baozun Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Baozun Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baozun Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Baozun Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.81  3.63  0.38    0.01  4 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.336.716.00 
772.34  

Baozun Inc Hype Timeline

Baozun Inc ADR is currently traded for 6.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Baozun is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 6.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 6.0% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Baozun Inc is about 36300.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.32. Baozun Inc ADR currently holds about 3.37 B in cash with (96.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 49.78, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Continue to Baozun Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Baozun Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Baozun Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Baozun Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Baozun Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Baozun Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BSHVFBUSHVELD MINERALS LTD(0.01) 3 per month 16.82  0.14  85.71 (46.15)  273.33 

Baozun Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Baozun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Baozun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Baozun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Baozun Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Baozun Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Baozun Inc ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Baozun Inc based on analysis of Baozun Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Baozun Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Baozun Inc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Baozun Inc

The number of cover stories for Baozun Inc depends on current market conditions and Baozun Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Baozun Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Baozun Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Baozun Inc Short Properties

Baozun Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Baozun Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Baozun Inc ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Baozun Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baozun Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.39%
Float Shares53.64M
Shares Short Prior Month5.48M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day313.8k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month407.15k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Baozun Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Baozun Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Baozun Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baozun Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Baozun Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baozun Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baozun Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baozun Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Baozun Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baozun Inc. If investors know Baozun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baozun Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Baozun Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baozun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baozun Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baozun Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baozun Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baozun Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baozun Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Baozun Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baozun Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.