Burford Stock Future Price Prediction

BUR
 Stock
  

USD 10.43  0.22  2.07%   

Burford Capital stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Burford Capital shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Burford Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Burford Capital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Burford Capital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Burford Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Burford Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Burford Capital based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Burford stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Burford Capital over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Wall Street Target Price
5.21
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.28
Using Burford Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burford Capital from the perspective of Burford Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Burford Capital using Burford Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Burford using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Burford Capital's stock price.
Burford Capital Calculated Tax Rate is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Burford Capital reported last year Calculated Tax Rate of 2.92. As of 08/11/2022, Quick Ratio is likely to grow to 11.03, while PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 175.10.

Burford Capital Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Burford Capital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Burford. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Burford Capital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Burford Capital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Burford Capital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Burford Capital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.67
Short Percent
0.0106
Short Ratio
3.06
Shares Short Prior Month
829.6 K
50 Day MA
9.9
Shares Short
900.1 K
Beta
0.96

Burford Capital Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Burford Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Burford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burford Capital. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Burford Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Burford Capital.

Burford Capital Implied Volatility

    
  30.13  
Burford Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burford Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burford Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burford Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burford Capital's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Burford Capital. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Burford Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Burford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Burford Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burford Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Burford Capital in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.8212.2714.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.9510.4012.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
15.0015.8516.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3910.7111.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Burford Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Burford Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Burford Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Burford Capital.

Burford Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Burford Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burford Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Burford Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Burford Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Burford Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burford Capital's historical news coverage. Burford Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.12 and 13.02, respectively. We have considered Burford Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.43
10.57
After-hype Price
13.02
Upside
Burford Capital is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burford Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Burford Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Burford Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burford Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burford Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.54  2.47  0.02    0.44  4 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.4310.570.19 
8,233  

Burford Capital Hype Timeline

On the 11th of August 2022 Burford Capital is traded for 10.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.44. Burford is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 10.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.19% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Burford Capital is about 302.7% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.99. The company reported the last year's revenue of 156.59 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (72.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 151.29 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Continue to Burford Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Burford Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Burford Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burford Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Burford Capital rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burford Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AAMCAltisource Asset Management 0.51 3 per month 3.67  0.21  14.76 (7.25)  36.47 
ABAlliancebernstein Holding LP(1.22) 10 per month 1.90  0.08  3.56 (2.72)  10.23 
AMGAffiliated Managers Group(2.05) 5 per month 2.38  0.0303  4.55 (4.12)  10.80 
AMKAssetmark Financial Holdings(0.44) 6 per month 1.86  0.05  3.01 (3.69)  7.06 
AMPAmeriprise Financial Services(4.91) 10 per month 1.95  0.0375  3.51 (3.39)  9.55 
STORStore Capital Corp 0.86 3 per month 1.73  0.05  2.74 (2.33)  9.22 
BODYThe Beachbody(0.11) 7 per month 7.80  0.0036  13.56 (12.00)  45.41 
YELPYelp Inc 0.48 6 per month 2.69  0.1  5.25 (4.61)  18.90 
FTCHFarfetch Ltd Cl(0.73) 3 per month 7.30  0.0422  12.38 (10.51)  42.38 
MERCMercer Intl(0.55) 11 per month 3.15  0.0135  5.07 (5.25)  18.37 

Burford Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Burford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Burford Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Burford Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Burford Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burford Capital based on analysis of Burford Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Burford Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Burford Capital's related companies.
 2015 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.30.350.37
Interest Coverage10.089.077.73

Story Coverage note for Burford Capital

The number of cover stories for Burford Capital depends on current market conditions and Burford Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burford Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burford Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Burford Capital Short Properties

Burford Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Burford Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burford Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burford Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burford Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date26th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.41%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.12
Short Percent Of Float1.06%
Float Shares196.7M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day118.84k
Shares Short Prior Month829.61k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month237.38k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Burford Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Burford Capital information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Burford Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Burford Stock analysis

When running Burford Capital price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Is Burford Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burford Capital. If investors know Burford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burford Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.28
Return On Assets
0.002
Return On Equity
-0.0293
The market value of Burford Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burford Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burford Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burford Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burford Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burford Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Burford Capital value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burford Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.