Anheuser-Busch Stock Future Price Prediction

BUD
 Stock
  

USD 56.59  0.21  0.37%   

Anheuser-Busch Inbev stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Anheuser-Busch Inbev's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Anheuser-Busch Inbev's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Anheuser-Busch Inbev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Anheuser-Busch stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Anheuser-Busch Inbev over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
4.72
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.77
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.26
Wall Street Target Price
56.69
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.77
Using Anheuser-Busch Inbev hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA from the perspective of Anheuser-Busch Inbev response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Anheuser-Busch Inbev using Anheuser-Busch Inbev's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Anheuser-Busch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Anheuser-Busch Inbev's stock price.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Anheuser-Busch Inbev's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Anheuser-Busch. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Anheuser-Busch Inbev stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Anheuser-Busch Inbev may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Anheuser-Busch Inbev and may potentially protect profits, hedge Anheuser-Busch Inbev with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
54.22
Short Percent
0.0061
Short Ratio
1.65
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
49.37
Shares Short
2.7 M

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Anheuser-Busch Inbev's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Anheuser-Busch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Anheuser-Busch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Anheuser-Busch Inbev's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Anheuser-Busch Inbev.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Implied Volatility

    
  30.53  
Anheuser-Busch Inbev's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Anheuser-Busch Inbev's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Anheuser-Busch Inbev stock will not fluctuate a lot when Anheuser-Busch Inbev's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Anheuser-Busch Inbev. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Anheuser-Busch Inbev to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Anheuser-Busch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 56.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Anheuser-Busch contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.91% per day over the life of the 2022-12-02 option contract. With Anheuser-Busch Inbev trading at $56.59, that is roughly $1.08. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Anheuser-Busch Inbev's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA options at the current volatility level of 30.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anheuser-Busch Inbev's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
50.9362.2064.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
54.6356.5858.54
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
61.0068.3881.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.622.812.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anheuser-Busch Inbev. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anheuser-Busch Inbev's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anheuser-Busch Inbev's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Anheuser-Busch Inbev.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Anheuser-Busch Inbev at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anheuser-Busch Inbev or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Anheuser-Busch Inbev, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Anheuser-Busch Inbev's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anheuser-Busch Inbev's historical news coverage. Anheuser-Busch Inbev's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.60 and 58.50, respectively. We have considered Anheuser-Busch Inbev's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 56.59
56.55
After-hype Price
58.50
Upside
Anheuser-Busch Inbev is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anheuser-Busch Inbev is based on 3 months time horizon.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Anheuser-Busch Inbev is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anheuser-Busch Inbev backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anheuser-Busch Inbev, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.22  1.95   0.04   0.58  6 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.5956.550.07 
975.00  

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Hype Timeline

On the 27th of November Anheuser-Busch Inbev is traded for 56.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.58. Anheuser-Busch is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 56.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.07% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Anheuser-Busch Inbev is about 73.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 57.17. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. Anheuser-Busch Inbev last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the September 29, 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Anheuser-Busch Inbev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Anheuser-Busch Inbev's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anheuser-Busch Inbev's future price movements. Getting to know how Anheuser-Busch Inbev rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anheuser-Busch Inbev may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CASYCaseys General Stor 2.65 7 per month 1.12  0.06  2.81 (1.85)  6.32 

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Anheuser-Busch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anheuser-Busch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anheuser-Busch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Anheuser-Busch Inbev Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Anheuser-Busch Inbev stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev based on analysis of Anheuser-Busch Inbev hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Anheuser-Busch Inbev's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Anheuser-Busch Inbev's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Anheuser-Busch Inbev

The number of cover stories for Anheuser-Busch Inbev depends on current market conditions and Anheuser-Busch Inbev's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anheuser-Busch Inbev is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anheuser-Busch Inbev's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Short Properties

Anheuser-Busch Inbev's future price predictability will typically decrease when Anheuser-Busch Inbev's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Anheuser-Busch Inbev's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anheuser-Busch Inbev's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date3rd of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.13%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.57
Float Shares5.74B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.28M
Shares Short Prior Month2.76M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.53M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022
Implied Shares Outstanding282.11M
Continue to Anheuser-Busch Inbev Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is Anheuser-Busch Inbev's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Anheuser-Busch Inbev. If investors know Anheuser-Busch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Anheuser-Busch Inbev listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
4.72
Market Capitalization
114.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0419
The market value of Anheuser-Busch Inbev is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Anheuser-Busch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Anheuser-Busch Inbev's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Anheuser-Busch Inbev's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Anheuser-Busch Inbev's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Anheuser-Busch Inbev's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Anheuser-Busch Inbev's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Anheuser-Busch Inbev value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anheuser-Busch Inbev's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.