Bitcoin Price Prediction Breakdown

BTC
 Crypto
  

USD 16,452  56.80  0.34%   

Bitcoin crypto price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bitcoin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bitcoin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bitcoin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bitcoin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bitcoin, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether crypto price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bitcoin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bitcoin price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bitcoin over a specific investment horizon.Using Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitcoin from the perspective of Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Bitcoin Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bitcoin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Bitcoin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bitcoin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bitcoin. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding crypto coins that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bitcoin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bitcoin.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bitcoin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bitcoin to buy its crypto coin at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bitcoin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell crypto coins at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bitcoin after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 16425.12  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bitcoin in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14,77014,77418,097
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17,59817,60217,606
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,08517,82820,571
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bitcoin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bitcoin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bitcoin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bitcoin's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16,421 and 18,097, respectively. We have considered Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 16,452
16,421
Downside
16,425
After-hype Price
18,097
Upside
Bitcoin is very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitcoin is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bitcoin Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23  3.81   26.41    0.04  1 Events / Month3 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16,45216,4250.16 
3.32  

Bitcoin Hype Timeline

Bitcoin is currently traded for 16,452. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -26.41 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Bitcoin is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 16425.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 3.32%. The price drop on the next newsis expected to be -0.16% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Bitcoin is about 1949.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16451.49. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Continue to Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Bitcoin rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DOGEDogecoin 0.01 1 per month 5.88  0.09  15.56 (7.69)  69.53 
LTCLitecoin 0.00 0 per month 4.84  0.11  10.46 (9.49)  27.21 
ETCEthereum Classic 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  8.42 (11.98)  28.86 
XMRMonero(0.01) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0193)  6.04 (6.14)  20.42 
BCHBitcoin Cash(0.01) 9 per month 5.19 (0.001)  6.68 (7.59)  24.23 
BSVBitcoin SV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.90 (6.66)  20.92 
ARArweave(0.41) 1 per month 7.28 (0.0077)  9.46 (12.35)  54.17 
MIOTAIOTA(0.01) 1 per month 0.00 (0.09)  7.69 (7.14)  25.53 
ZECZCash(1.72) 1 per month 0.00 (0.10)  6.71 (8.95)  29.44 
CTCCreditcoin 0.00 0 per month 6.42  0.0393  12.82 (9.09)  68.97 
BTGBitcoin Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15)  5.57 (9.76)  27.41 

Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bitcoin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitcoin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitcoin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
The successful prediction of Bitcoin price could yield a significant profit to cryptocurrency investors. Theoretically, the cryptocurrency market should be highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. The crypto trading ecosystem has experienced unprecedented growth over the last few years and continues accelerating irrespective of its volatilities and bubbles. In general, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies react quickly to the market and adjust based on demand and supply. This implies that the cryptocurrency market is highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bitcoin based on Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bitcoin's market risk using different technical indicators and then compare them to Bitcoin's related cryptocurrency tokens.

Story Coverage note for Bitcoin

The number of cover stories for Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Continue to Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Other Tools for Bitcoin Crypto Coin

When running Bitcoin price analysis, check to measure Bitcoin's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bitcoin is operating at the current time. Most of Bitcoin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Bitcoin's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bitcoin's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Bitcoin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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