Boxed Stock Future Price Prediction

BOXD
 Stock
  

USD 0.37  0.06  13.95%   

Boxed Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Boxed shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Boxed's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Boxed and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Boxed's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Boxed Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Boxed Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Boxed based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Boxed stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Boxed over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.25) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.66) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.90) 
Wall Street Target Price
2.23
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.27) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.15) 
Using Boxed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Boxed Inc from the perspective of Boxed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Boxed using Boxed's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Boxed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Boxed's stock price.

Boxed Implied Volatility

    
  158.34  
Boxed's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Boxed Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Boxed's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Boxed stock will not fluctuate a lot when Boxed's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Boxed. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Boxed to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Boxed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Boxed after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boxed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Boxed in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.163.2710.20
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0012.0012.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Boxed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Boxed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Boxed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Boxed Inc.

Boxed After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Boxed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Boxed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Boxed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Boxed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Boxed's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Boxed's historical news coverage. Boxed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 7.30, respectively. We have considered Boxed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 0.37
0.37
After-hype Price
7.30
Upside
Boxed is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Boxed Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Boxed Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Boxed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Boxed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Boxed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.11  6.93  0.00    0.31  0 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.370.370.00 
0.00  

Boxed Hype Timeline

Boxed Inc is currently traded for 0.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.31. Boxed anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.11%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Boxed is about 2475.0%. The volatility of related hype on Boxed is about 2475.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.24. Boxed Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Continue to Boxed Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Boxed Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Boxed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Boxed's future price movements. Getting to know how Boxed rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Boxed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Boxed Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Boxed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Boxed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Boxed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Boxed Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Boxed stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Boxed Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Boxed based on analysis of Boxed hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Boxed's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Boxed's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Boxed

The number of cover stories for Boxed depends on current market conditions and Boxed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Boxed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Boxed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Boxed Short Properties

Boxed's future price predictability will typically decrease when Boxed's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Boxed Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Boxed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boxed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68417410.00
Cash And Short Term Investments30043046.00
Continue to Boxed Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Boxed Inc price analysis, check to measure Boxed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boxed is operating at the current time. Most of Boxed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boxed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boxed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boxed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Boxed's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boxed. If investors know Boxed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boxed listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
31.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.15) 
Return On Assets
(0.58) 
Return On Equity
(9.12) 
The market value of Boxed Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boxed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boxed's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boxed's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boxed's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boxed's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boxed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Boxed value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boxed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.