Barnes Stock Future Price Prediction

BNED
 Stock
  

USD 2.95  0.02  0.68%   

Barnes Noble Education stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Barnes Noble shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Barnes Noble's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Barnes Noble and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Barnes Noble's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barnes Noble Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Barnes Noble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Barnes Noble based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Barnes stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Barnes Noble over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.75
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
-0.53
EPS Estimate Current Year
-1.29
EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.16
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Using Barnes Noble hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barnes Noble Education from the perspective of Barnes Noble response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barnes Noble using Barnes Noble's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barnes using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barnes Noble's stock price.
The current year Interest Coverage is expected to grow to 2.92. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 94.14

Barnes Noble Implied Volatility

    
  151.88  
Barnes Noble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barnes Noble Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barnes Noble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barnes Noble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barnes Noble's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Barnes Noble. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Barnes Noble to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Barnes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Barnes Noble after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barnes Noble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Barnes Noble in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.455.219.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.063.077.83
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0012.0012.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.892.942.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barnes Noble. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barnes Noble's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barnes Noble's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Barnes Noble Education.

Barnes Noble After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Barnes Noble at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barnes Noble or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Barnes Noble, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Barnes Noble Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Barnes Noble's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barnes Noble's historical news coverage. Barnes Noble's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 7.75, respectively. We have considered Barnes Noble's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.95
2.99
After-hype Price
7.75
Upside
Barnes Noble is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barnes Noble Education is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barnes Noble Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Barnes Noble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barnes Noble backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barnes Noble, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29  4.76  0.04   0.00  4 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.952.991.36 
3,662  

Barnes Noble Hype Timeline

Barnes Noble Education is currently traded for 2.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Barnes is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 2.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.36% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Barnes Noble is about 28560.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (68.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372.76 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Continue to Barnes Noble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barnes Noble Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Barnes Noble's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barnes Noble's future price movements. Getting to know how Barnes Noble rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barnes Noble may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVXChevron Corp 1.60 10 per month 0.00  0.0203  3.06 (4.60)  10.25 
BACBank Of America 0.16 3 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.38 (3.49)  9.79 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(0.25) 8 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.98 (3.00)  10.78 
KOCoca-Cola 0.09 7 per month 1.75  0.17  2.14 (2.01)  10.05 
MCDMcDonalds Corp 1.24 13 per month 1.29  0.16  2.46 (1.98)  7.82 
GEGeneral Electric(0.30) 7 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.80 (4.93)  12.00 
PFEPfizer Inc 0.31 11 per month 1.94  0.11  3.17 (3.16)  8.45 
WMTWalmart(0.63) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0313)  2.43 (2.47)  13.98 
DISWalt Disney(2.07) 10 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.29 (3.78)  8.79 

Barnes Noble Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barnes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barnes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barnes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Barnes Noble Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Barnes Noble stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Barnes Noble Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barnes Noble based on analysis of Barnes Noble hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Barnes Noble's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Barnes Noble's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.810.88
Interest Coverage2.842.92

Story Coverage note for Barnes Noble

The number of cover stories for Barnes Noble depends on current market conditions and Barnes Noble's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barnes Noble is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barnes Noble's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Barnes Noble Short Properties

Barnes Noble's future price predictability will typically decrease when Barnes Noble's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barnes Noble Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barnes Noble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barnes Noble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.40%
Short Percent Of Float6.25%
Float Shares35.39M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.58M
Shares Short Prior Month2.44M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month780.7k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2022
Continue to Barnes Noble Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Barnes Noble Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Barnes Noble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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Is Barnes Noble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnes Noble. If investors know Barnes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnes Noble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.75
Market Capitalization
153.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
-0.0355
Return On Equity
-0.26
The market value of Barnes Noble Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnes Noble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnes Noble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnes Noble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnes Noble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnes Noble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Barnes Noble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnes Noble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.