Berkeley Stock Future Price Prediction

BLI -  USA Stock  

USD 19.04  1.41  6.89%

Berkeley Lights stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Berkeley Lights shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Berkeley Lights' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Berkeley Lights and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Berkeley Lights' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Berkeley Lights, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Berkeley Lights Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Berkeley Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Berkeley Lights based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Berkeley stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Berkeley Lights over a specific investment horizon. Using Berkeley Lights hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Berkeley Lights from the perspective of Berkeley Lights response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Berkeley Lights using Berkeley Lights' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Berkeley using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Berkeley Lights' stock price.

Berkeley Lights Implied Volatility

    
  105.66  
Berkeley Lights' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Berkeley Lights stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Berkeley Lights' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Berkeley Lights stock will not fluctuate a lot when Berkeley Lights' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Berkeley Lights. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Berkeley Lights to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Berkeley because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Berkeley Lights after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 17.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Berkeley Lights' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Berkeley Lights in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.1429.3034.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.8419.1424.43
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0061.80100.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1-0.94-0.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Berkeley Lights. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Berkeley Lights' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Berkeley Lights' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Berkeley Lights.

Berkeley Lights After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Berkeley Lights at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Berkeley Lights or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Berkeley Lights, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Berkeley Lights Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Berkeley Lights' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Berkeley Lights' historical news coverage. Berkeley Lights' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.57 and 23.17, respectively. We have considered Berkeley Lights' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.04
3rd of December 2021
17.87
After-hype Price
23.17
Upside
Berkeley Lights is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Berkeley Lights is based on 3 months time horizon.

Berkeley Lights Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Berkeley Lights is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Berkeley Lights backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Berkeley Lights, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.95  5.30  1.17   0.29  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.0417.876.14 
430.89  

Berkeley Lights Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December Berkeley Lights is traded for 19.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Berkeley is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 17.87. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -6.14% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Berkeley Lights is about 1743.42% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 18.75. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Continue to Berkeley Lights Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Berkeley Lights Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Berkeley Lights' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Berkeley Lights' future price movements. Getting to know how Berkeley Lights rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Berkeley Lights may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
A
Agilent Technologies(3.04) 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.58 (2.90)  7.81 
Aaip
Aaipharma 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABAX
Abaxis, 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABI1
Applied Biosystems 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ABL
Able Laboratories 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ACMI
Accumed International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ADA
Adac Laboratories 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AFFX
Affymetrix 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AGHC
Aeon Global Health 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.0327  0.00  0.00  5.88 
AGNT
Argonaut Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Berkeley Lights Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Berkeley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Berkeley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Berkeley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Berkeley Lights Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Berkeley Lights stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Berkeley Lights, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Berkeley Lights based on analysis of Berkeley Lights hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Berkeley Lights's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Berkeley Lights's related companies.
 2010 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share37.487.858.05
Asset Turnover0.430.310.32

Story Coverage note for Berkeley Lights

The number of cover stories for Berkeley Lights depends on current market conditions and Berkeley Lights' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Berkeley Lights is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Berkeley Lights' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Berkeley Lights Short Properties

Berkeley Lights' future price predictability will typically decrease when Berkeley Lights' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Berkeley Lights often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Berkeley Lights' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkeley Lights' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.30%
Short Percent Of Float5.23%
Float Shares40.47M
Shares Short Prior Month2.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day702.35k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.66M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Continue to Berkeley Lights Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Berkeley Lights information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Berkeley Lights' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Berkeley Lights' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Berkeley Lights. If investors know Berkeley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Berkeley Lights listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Berkeley Lights is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Berkeley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Berkeley Lights' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Berkeley Lights' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Berkeley Lights' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Berkeley Lights' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Berkeley Lights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Berkeley Lights value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Berkeley Lights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.