Black Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 70.50  1.13  1.58%   

Black Hills stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Black Hills shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Black Hills' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Black Hills and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Black Hills' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Black Hills, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Black Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Black Hills based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Black stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Black Hills over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Using Black Hills hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Black Hills from the perspective of Black Hills response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Black Hills using Black Hills' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Black using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Black Hills' stock price.
Black Hills Cash and Equivalents Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover was reported at 255.17. The current Return on Investment is estimated to increase to 7.27, while Interest Coverage is projected to decrease to 2.43.

Black Hills Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Black Hills' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Black. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Black Hills stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Black Hills may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Black Hills and may potentially protect profits, hedge Black Hills with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
3.1 M
50 Day MA
Shares Short
2.4 M

Black Hills Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Black Hills' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Black. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Black can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Black Hills. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Black Hills' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Black Hills.

Black Hills Implied Volatility

Black Hills' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Black Hills stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Black Hills' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Black Hills stock will not fluctuate a lot when Black Hills' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Black Hills. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Black Hills to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Black because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Black Hills after-hype prediction price

  USD 70.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Black Hills' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Black Hills in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
5 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Black Hills. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Black Hills' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Black Hills' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Black Hills.

Black Hills After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Black Hills at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Black Hills or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Black Hills, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Black Hills Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Black Hills' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Black Hills' historical news coverage. Black Hills' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.72 and 72.48, respectively. We have considered Black Hills' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 70.50
After-hype Price
Black Hills is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Black Hills is based on 3 months time horizon.

Black Hills Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Black Hills is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Hills backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Black Hills, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08  1.89   0.09   0.01  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Black Hills Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Black Hills is traded for 70.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Black is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 70.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 161.54%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Black Hills is about 1339.37% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 70.51. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Black Hills last dividend was issued on the 16th of November 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 11th of March 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Black Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Black Hills Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Black Hills' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Black Hills' future price movements. Getting to know how Black Hills rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Black Hills may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
MRKMerck Company 0.12 8 per month 0.89  0.22  2.44 (1.71)  7.38 
HDHome Depot 0.32 9 per month 1.82  0.0467  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 
MMM3M Company(1.33) 7 per month 1.70 (0.0239)  3.38 (3.23)  8.28 
AXPAmerican Express 10.20 8 per month 1.85 (0.0073)  3.88 (3.11)  8.22 
DISWalt Disney(1.71) 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.28 (3.22)  17.60 
WMTWalmart 3.00 8 per month 1.08  0.1  2.18 (2.33)  6.89 
MSFTMicrosoft(7.62) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0384)  3.92 (3.54)  11.64 
GEGeneral Electric(0.07) 7 per month 1.77  0.06  3.43 (2.68)  9.22 
CVXChevron Corp(1.64) 7 per month 1.95  0.06  3.37 (2.91)  9.61 

Black Hills Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Black price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Black using various technical indicators. When you analyze Black charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Black Hills Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Black Hills stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Black Hills, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Black Hills based on analysis of Black Hills hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Black Hills's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Black Hills's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.331.381.481.32
Interest Coverage2.962.992.692.43

Story Coverage note for Black Hills

The number of cover stories for Black Hills depends on current market conditions and Black Hills' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Black Hills is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Black Hills' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Black Hills Short Properties

Black Hills' future price predictability will typically decrease when Black Hills' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Black Hills often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Black Hills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Hills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62439000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments8921000.00
Continue to Black Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running Black Hills price analysis, check to measure Black Hills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Black Hills is operating at the current time. Most of Black Hills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Black Hills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Black Hills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Black Hills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Black Hills' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Black Hills. If investors know Black will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Black Hills listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
4.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Black Hills is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Black that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Black Hills' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Black Hills' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Black Hills' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Black Hills' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Black Hills' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Black Hills value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Black Hills' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.