Bar Harbor Stock Future Price Prediction

BHB
 Stock
  

USD 29.49  0.49  1.69%   

Bar Harbor Bankshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bar Harbor shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bar Harbor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bar Harbor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bar Harbor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bar Harbor Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bar Harbor based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bar Harbor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bar Harbor over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.77
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.85
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.21
Wall Street Target Price
33.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.69
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.058
Using Bar Harbor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bar Harbor Bankshares from the perspective of Bar Harbor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bar Harbor Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 19.18. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 3.55, whereas Total Assets Per Share are forecasted to decline to 210.63.

Bar Harbor Bankshares Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bar Harbor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Bar Harbor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bar Harbor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bar Harbor Bankshares. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bar Harbor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bar Harbor.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bar Harbor. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bar Harbor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bar Harbor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bar Harbor after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 29.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bar Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bar Harbor in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.5434.3536.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.5028.5330.56
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.0034.5035.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.712.712.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bar Harbor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bar Harbor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bar Harbor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bar Harbor Bankshares.

Bar Harbor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bar Harbor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bar Harbor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Bar Harbor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bar Harbor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bar Harbor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bar Harbor's historical news coverage. Bar Harbor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.43 and 31.49, respectively. We have considered Bar Harbor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 29.49
29.46
After-hype Price
31.49
Upside
Bar Harbor is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bar Harbor Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bar Harbor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bar Harbor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bar Harbor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bar Harbor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.23  2.03   0.03   0.00  9 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.4929.460.10 
1,450  

Bar Harbor Hype Timeline

On the 10th of August Bar Harbor Bankshares is traded for 29.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bar Harbor is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.46. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Bar Harbor is about 10150.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.49. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bar Harbor Bankshares next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 15th of August 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 22nd of March 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bar Harbor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bar Harbor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bar Harbor's future price movements. Getting to know how Bar Harbor rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bar Harbor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DISWalt Disney(0.02) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0166)  3.73 (3.76)  7.34 

Bar Harbor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bar Harbor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bar Harbor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bar Harbor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bar Harbor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bar Harbor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bar Harbor Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bar Harbor based on analysis of Bar Harbor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bar Harbor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bar Harbor's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover3.293.253.013.55
Calculated Tax Rate15.6920.1819.1825.12

Story Coverage note for Bar Harbor

The number of cover stories for Bar Harbor depends on current market conditions and Bar Harbor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bar Harbor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bar Harbor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bar Harbor Short Properties

Bar Harbor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bar Harbor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bar Harbor Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bar Harbor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bar Harbor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.05%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.92
Short Percent Of Float1.08%
Float Shares14.65M
Shares Short Prior Month164.53k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.87k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month22.54k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.20%
Continue to Bar Harbor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bar Harbor Bankshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bar Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Bar Harbor Stock analysis

When running Bar Harbor Bankshares price analysis, check to measure Bar Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bar Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Bar Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bar Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bar Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bar Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bar Harbor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bar Harbor. If investors know Bar Harbor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bar Harbor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
Market Capitalization
432.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.058
Return On Assets
0.011
Return On Equity
0.0999
The market value of Bar Harbor Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bar Harbor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bar Harbor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bar Harbor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bar Harbor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bar Harbor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bar Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bar Harbor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bar Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.