BG Foods Stock Future Price Prediction

BGS
 Stock
  

USD 17.96  0.66  3.54%   

BG Foods Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BG Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BG Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BG Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BG Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BG Foods Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to BG Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BG Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BG Foods stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BG Foods over a specific investment horizon.Using BG Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BG Foods Holdings from the perspective of BG Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BG Foods using BG Foods' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BG Foods using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BG Foods' stock price.

BG Foods Implied Volatility

    
  41.64  
BG Foods' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BG Foods Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BG Foods' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BG Foods stock will not fluctuate a lot when BG Foods' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BG Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BG Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BG Foods because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BG Foods after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 18.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BG Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BG Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.1621.0223.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.0117.4319.85
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.0027.5029.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.6118.2018.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BG Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BG Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BG Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BG Foods Holdings.

BG Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BG Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BG Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BG Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BG Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BG Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BG Foods' historical news coverage. BG Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.96 and 20.80, respectively. We have considered BG Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.96
18.38
After-hype Price
20.80
Upside
BG Foods is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BG Foods Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

BG Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as BG Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BG Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BG Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51  2.42  0.42    0.01  7 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.9618.382.34 
291.57  

BG Foods Hype Timeline

On the 25th of September BG Foods Holdings is traded for 17.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. BG Foods is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 18.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.34% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on BG Foods is about 24200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.95. The company has 2.35 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.57, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Continue to BG Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BG Foods Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BG Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BG Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how BG Foods rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BG Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BSHVFBUSHVELD MINERALS LTD(0.01) 3 per month 16.82  0.14  85.71 (46.15)  273.33 

BG Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BG Foods price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BG Foods using various technical indicators. When you analyze BG Foods charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BG Foods Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BG Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BG Foods Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BG Foods based on analysis of BG Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BG Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BG Foods's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BG Foods

The number of cover stories for BG Foods depends on current market conditions and BG Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BG Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BG Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BG Foods Short Properties

BG Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when BG Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BG Foods Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BG Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BG Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out16.87%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.90
Short Percent Of Float23.22%
Float Shares67.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.12M
Shares Short Prior Month11.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month884.07k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield10.20%
Continue to BG Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the BG Foods Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BG Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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When running BG Foods Holdings price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BG Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BG Foods. If investors know BG Foods will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BG Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BG Foods Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BG Foods that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BG Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BG Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BG Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BG Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BG Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.