Big 5 Stock Future Price Prediction

BGFV -  USA Stock  

USD 18.31  0.63  3.33%

Big 5 Sporting stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Big 5 shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Big 5's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Big 5 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Big 5's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Big 5 Sporting, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Big 5 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Big 5 Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Big 5 based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Big 5 stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Big 5 over a specific investment horizon. Using Big 5 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Big 5 Sporting from the perspective of Big 5 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Big 5 using Big 5's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Big 5 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Big 5's stock price.
Big 5 Revenue to Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Big 5 reported Revenue to Assets of 2.27 in 2021. Quick Ratio is likely to climb to 0.07 in 2022, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 75.01 in 2022.

Big 5 Implied Volatility

    
  97.6  
Big 5's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Big 5 Sporting stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Big 5's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Big 5 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Big 5's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Big 5. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Big 5 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Big 5 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Big 5 after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 18.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Big 5's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Big 5 in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.9417.0523.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.504.514.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Big 5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Big 5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Big 5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Big 5 Sporting.

Big 5 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Big 5 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Big 5 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Big 5, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Big 5 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Big 5's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Big 5's historical news coverage. Big 5's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.77 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered Big 5's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 18.31
18.88
After-hype Price
24.99
Upside
Big 5 is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Big 5 Sporting is based on 3 months time horizon.

Big 5 Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Big 5 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Big 5 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Big 5, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.35  6.07  0.48   0.34  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.3118.880.32 
439.86  

Big 5 Hype Timeline

Big 5 Sporting is currently traded for 18.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.34. Big 5 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 18.88. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.32% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Big 5 is about 632.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.97. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Big 5 Sporting next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of November 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Big 5 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Big 5 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Big 5's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Big 5's future price movements. Getting to know how Big 5 rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Big 5 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Big 5 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Big 5 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Big 5 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Big 5 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Big 5 Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Big 5 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Big 5 Sporting, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Big 5 based on analysis of Big 5 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Big 5's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Big 5's related companies.
 2012 2017 2018 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.05850.260.01080.3
Interest Coverage19.019.9440.5712.21

Story Coverage note for Big 5

The number of cover stories for Big 5 depends on current market conditions and Big 5's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Big 5 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Big 5's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Big 5 Short Properties

Big 5's future price predictability will typically decrease when Big 5's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Big 5 Sporting often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Big 5's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Big 5's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out26.66%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.68
Short Percent Of Float28.81%
Float Shares20.74M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.05M
Shares Short Prior Month6.79M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.32M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.67%
Continue to Big 5 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Big 5 Sporting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Big 5's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Big 5 Stock analysis

When running Big 5 Sporting price analysis, check to measure Big 5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big 5 is operating at the current time. Most of Big 5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big 5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big 5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big 5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Big 5's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big 5. If investors know Big 5 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big 5 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Big 5 Sporting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big 5 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big 5's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big 5's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big 5's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big 5's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big 5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big 5 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big 5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.