Franklin Stock Future Price Prediction

BEN
 Stock
  

USD 27.11  0.14  0.51%   

Franklin Resources stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Franklin Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Franklin Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Franklin Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Franklin Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Franklin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Franklin Resources over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.65) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.66
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.53
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.65
Wall Street Target Price
21.82
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.67
Using Franklin Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Resources from the perspective of Franklin Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Resources using Franklin Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Resources' stock price.
Franklin Resources Accounts Payable Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accounts Payable Turnover is estimated at 7.90. Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to rise to 6.43 this year, although the value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover will most likely fall to 1.44.

Franklin Resources Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Franklin Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Franklin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Franklin Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Franklin Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Franklin Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Franklin Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
25.69
Short Percent
0.0702
Short Ratio
4.97
Shares Short Prior Month
18.5 M
50 Day MA
23.89
Shares Short
19.9 M

Franklin Resources Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Franklin Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Resources. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Resources.

Franklin Resources Implied Volatility

    
  35.81  
Franklin Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Resources' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Franklin Resources. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Franklin Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.4031.5734.47
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0037.4345.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.523.593.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Franklin Resources.

Franklin Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Resources' historical news coverage. Franklin Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.42 and 30.22, respectively. We have considered Franklin Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 27.11
27.32
After-hype Price
30.22
Upside
Franklin Resources is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Franklin Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.13  2.90  0.21    0.05  8 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.1127.320.77 
182.39  

Franklin Resources Hype Timeline

On the 5th of December Franklin Resources is traded for 27.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Franklin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 27.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 182.39%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.77% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Resources is about 746.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.06. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.33 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.52 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Continue to Franklin Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Resources rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Franklin Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Resources based on analysis of Franklin Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Resources's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.630.770.83
Interest Coverage24.4829.4230.19

Story Coverage note for Franklin Resources

The number of cover stories for Franklin Resources depends on current market conditions and Franklin Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Franklin Resources Short Properties

Franklin Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding490600000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments5786200000.00
Continue to Franklin Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Franklin Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Franklin Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Franklin Resources price analysis, check to measure Franklin Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Franklin Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Resources. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.65) 
Market Capitalization
13.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.11) 
Return On Assets
0.049
Return On Equity
0.1
The market value of Franklin Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Franklin Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.