Build-A-Bear Stock Future Price Prediction

BBW -  USA Stock  

USD 17.18  0.27  1.60%

Build-A-Bear Workshop stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Build-A-Bear Workshop shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Build-A-Bear Workshop's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Build-A-Bear Workshop and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Build-A-Bear Workshop's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Build-A-Bear Workshop, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Build-A-Bear Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Build-A-Bear Workshop based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Build-A-Bear stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Build-A-Bear Workshop over a specific investment horizon. Using Build-A-Bear Workshop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Build-A-Bear Workshop from the perspective of Build-A-Bear Workshop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Build-A-Bear Workshop using Build-A-Bear Workshop's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Build-A-Bear using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock price.
Build-A-Bear Workshop Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Build-A-Bear Workshop reported Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets of 13.62 in 2021. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to climb to 1.33 in 2022, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is likely to drop 8.17 in 2022.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Implied Volatility

    
  91.1  
Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Build-A-Bear Workshop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Build-A-Bear Workshop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Build-A-Bear Workshop's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Build-A-Bear Workshop. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Build-A-Bear Workshop to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Build-A-Bear because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Build-A-Bear Workshop after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 17.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Build-A-Bear Workshop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Build-A-Bear Workshop in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.1121.1226.13
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
33.0033.0033.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.332.332.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Build-A-Bear Workshop. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Build-A-Bear Workshop's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Build-A-Bear Workshop's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Build-A-Bear Workshop.

Build-A-Bear Workshop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Build-A-Bear Workshop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Build-A-Bear Workshop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Build-A-Bear Workshop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Build-A-Bear Workshop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Build-A-Bear Workshop's historical news coverage. Build-A-Bear Workshop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.99 and 22.01, respectively. We have considered Build-A-Bear Workshop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.18
17.00
After-hype Price
22.01
Upside
Build-A-Bear Workshop is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Build-A-Bear Workshop is based on 6 months time horizon.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Build-A-Bear Workshop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Build-A-Bear Workshop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Build-A-Bear Workshop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20  4.05  0.00   0.19  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.1817.000.53 
20,250  

Build-A-Bear Workshop Hype Timeline

On the 28th of January Build-A-Bear Workshop is traded for 17.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.19. Build-A-Bear is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 17.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.53% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Build-A-Bear Workshop is about 421.88% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.99. The company reported the last year's revenue of 375.22 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 33.61 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 104.75 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Build-A-Bear Workshop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Build-A-Bear Workshop's future price movements. Getting to know how Build-A-Bear Workshop rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Build-A-Bear Workshop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Build-A-Bear Workshop Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Build-A-Bear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Build-A-Bear using various technical indicators. When you analyze Build-A-Bear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Build-A-Bear Workshop Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Build-A-Bear Workshop stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Build-A-Bear Workshop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Build-A-Bear Workshop based on analysis of Build-A-Bear Workshop hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Build-A-Bear Workshop's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Build-A-Bear Workshop's related companies.
 2010 2016 2021 2022 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate83.2874.0666.6671.92
Interest Coverage105.071.06 K1.22 K1.04 K

Story Coverage note for Build-A-Bear Workshop

The number of cover stories for Build-A-Bear Workshop depends on current market conditions and Build-A-Bear Workshop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Build-A-Bear Workshop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Build-A-Bear Workshop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contributor Headline

Latest Perspective on Build-A-Bear Workshop

Build-A-Bear Workshop Short Properties

Build-A-Bear Workshop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Build-A-Bear Workshop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Build-A-Bear Workshop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Build-A-Bear Workshop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Build-A-Bear Workshop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.18%
Short Percent Of Float4.70%
Float Shares10.99M
Shares Short Prior Month915.1k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day430.59k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month352.05k
Date Short Interest31st of December 2021
Continue to Build-A-Bear Workshop Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Build-A-Bear Workshop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Build-A-Bear Workshop's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Is Build-A-Bear Workshop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Build-A-Bear Workshop. If investors know Build-A-Bear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Build-A-Bear Workshop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Build-A-Bear Workshop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Build-A-Bear that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Build-A-Bear Workshop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Build-A-Bear Workshop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Build-A-Bear Workshop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Build-A-Bear Workshop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Build-A-Bear Workshop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Build-A-Bear Workshop value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Build-A-Bear Workshop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.