Bancfirst Stock Future Price Prediction

BANF -  USA Stock  

USD 64.95  2.89  4.26%

Bancfirst Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bancfirst Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bancfirst Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bancfirst Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bancfirst Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bancfirst Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bancfirst Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bancfirst Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bancfirst Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bancfirst stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bancfirst Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Bancfirst Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bancfirst Corp from the perspective of Bancfirst Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bancfirst Corp using Bancfirst Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bancfirst using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bancfirst Corp's stock price.
Bancfirst Corp PPandE Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's PPandE Turnover was at 1.98. The current year Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.0475, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.22.

Bancfirst Corp Implied Volatility

    
  19.54  
Bancfirst Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bancfirst Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bancfirst Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bancfirst Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bancfirst Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bancfirst Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bancfirst Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bancfirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bancfirst Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 65.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bancfirst Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bancfirst Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
58.4670.9872.47
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
66.0067.6769.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.794.955.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bancfirst Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bancfirst Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bancfirst Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bancfirst Corp.

Bancfirst Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bancfirst Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bancfirst Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Bancfirst Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Bancfirst Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bancfirst Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bancfirst Corp's historical news coverage. Bancfirst Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.64 and 66.62, respectively. We have considered Bancfirst Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.95
29th of November 2021
65.13
After-hype Price
66.62
Upside
Bancfirst Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bancfirst Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bancfirst Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bancfirst Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bancfirst Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bancfirst Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.24  1.49  0.17   0.15  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.9565.130.28 
212.86  

Bancfirst Corp Hype Timeline

Bancfirst Corp is currently traded for 64.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Bancfirst is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 65.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.28% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Bancfirst Corp is about 232.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 64.8. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 477.73 M. Net Income was 164.82 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 381.24 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Continue to Bancfirst Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bancfirst Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bancfirst Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bancfirst Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Bancfirst Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bancfirst Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bancfirst Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bancfirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bancfirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bancfirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bancfirst Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bancfirst Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bancfirst Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bancfirst Corp based on analysis of Bancfirst Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bancfirst Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bancfirst Corp's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
PPandE Turnover2.782.491.98
Calculated Tax Rate21.2420.4519.37

Story Coverage note for Bancfirst Corp

The number of cover stories for Bancfirst Corp depends on current market conditions and Bancfirst Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bancfirst Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bancfirst Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Bancfirst Corp

Bancfirst Corp Short Properties

Bancfirst Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bancfirst Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bancfirst Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bancfirst Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bancfirst Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.15%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.34
Short Percent Of Float4.19%
Float Shares18.82M
Shares Short Prior Month856.56k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day66.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month114.19k
Date Short Interest15th of October 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.00%
Continue to Bancfirst Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bancfirst Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bancfirst Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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When running Bancfirst Corp price analysis, check to measure Bancfirst Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bancfirst Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Bancfirst Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bancfirst Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bancfirst Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bancfirst Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bancfirst Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bancfirst Corp. If investors know Bancfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bancfirst Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bancfirst Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bancfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bancfirst Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bancfirst Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bancfirst Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bancfirst Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bancfirst Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bancfirst Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bancfirst Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.