Avaya Stock Future Price Prediction

AVYA
 Stock
  

USD 1.25  0.05  4.17%   

Avaya Holdings Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Avaya Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Avaya Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Avaya Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Avaya Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Avaya Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Avaya Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Avaya Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Avaya stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Avaya Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.87) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.27
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.44
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.07) 
Wall Street Target Price
0.98
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.05
Using Avaya Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avaya Holdings Corp from the perspective of Avaya Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Avaya Holdings using Avaya Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Avaya using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Avaya Holdings' stock price.
Avaya Holdings PPandE Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's PPandE Turnover was at 12.15. The current year Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to grow to 20.16, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 4.36.

Avaya Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Avaya Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Avaya. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Avaya Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Avaya Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Avaya Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Avaya Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.12
Short Percent
0.25
Short Ratio
5.94
Shares Short Prior Month
18.2 M
50 Day MA
1.39
Shares Short
17.2 M

Avaya Holdings Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Avaya Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Avaya. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Avaya can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Avaya Holdings Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Avaya Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Avaya Holdings.

Avaya Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  245.66  
Avaya Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Avaya Holdings Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Avaya Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Avaya Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Avaya Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Avaya Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avaya Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avaya because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Avaya Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avaya Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Avaya Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.358.0215.69
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0028.5740.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.932.993.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Avaya Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Avaya Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Avaya Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Avaya Holdings Corp.

Avaya Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Avaya Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avaya Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avaya Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Avaya Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Avaya Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avaya Holdings' historical news coverage. Avaya Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 8.78, respectively. We have considered Avaya Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.25
1.11
After-hype Price
8.78
Upside
Avaya Holdings is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avaya Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Avaya Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Avaya Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avaya Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avaya Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.65  7.67   0.09    0.14  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.251.117.50 
5,479  

Avaya Holdings Hype Timeline

Avaya Holdings Corp is presently traded for 1.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Avaya is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 1.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -7.5% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Avaya Holdings is about 3687.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.11. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avaya Holdings Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.73. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please continue to Avaya Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Avaya Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Avaya Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avaya Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Avaya Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avaya Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Avaya Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Avaya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avaya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avaya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Avaya Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Avaya Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avaya Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avaya Holdings based on analysis of Avaya Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avaya Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Avaya Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity4.854.36
Interest Coverage0.731.0

Story Coverage note for Avaya Holdings

The number of cover stories for Avaya Holdings depends on current market conditions and Avaya Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avaya Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avaya Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Avaya Holdings Short Properties

Avaya Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Avaya Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avaya Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avaya Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avaya Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84500000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments498000000.00
Please continue to Avaya Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Avaya Holdings Corp price analysis, check to measure Avaya Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avaya Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Avaya Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avaya Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avaya Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avaya Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Avaya Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avaya Holdings. If investors know Avaya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avaya Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.87) 
Market Capitalization
104.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Return On Assets
0.0046
Return On Equity
(0.0364) 
The market value of Avaya Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avaya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avaya Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avaya Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avaya Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avaya Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avaya Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Avaya Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avaya Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.