Applied Stock Future Price Prediction

AUVI
 Stock
  

USD 1.05  0.05  5.00%   

Applied UV stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Applied UV shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Applied UV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Applied UV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Applied UV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Applied UV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Applied UV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Applied UV based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Applied stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Applied UV over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.18) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.85) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.63) 
Wall Street Target Price
5.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.17) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.65
Using Applied UV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied UV from the perspective of Applied UV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Applied UV. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Applied UV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Applied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Applied UV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied UV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Applied UV in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.835.128.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0191810.964.54
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.7517.7517.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.67-0.67-0.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Applied UV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Applied UV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Applied UV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Applied UV.

Applied UV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Applied UV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied UV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applied UV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Applied UV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Applied UV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied UV's historical news coverage. Applied UV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.50, respectively. We have considered Applied UV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.05
0.92
After-hype Price
4.50
Upside
Applied UV is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied UV is based on 3 months time horizon.

Applied UV Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Applied UV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied UV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied UV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84  3.58  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.050.920.00 
0.00  

Applied UV Hype Timeline

Applied UV is presently traded for 1.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Applied anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.84%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Applied UV is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Applied UV is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.05. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Applied UV recorded a loss per share of 0.87. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Please continue to Applied UV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Applied UV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Applied UV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied UV's future price movements. Getting to know how Applied UV rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied UV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Applied UV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Applied UV Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Applied UV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Applied UV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied UV based on analysis of Applied UV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Applied UV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Applied UV's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Applied UV

The number of cover stories for Applied UV depends on current market conditions and Applied UV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied UV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied UV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Applied UV Short Properties

Applied UV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied UV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied UV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied UV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied UV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9111215.00
Cash And Short Term Investments7922906.00
Please continue to Applied UV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Applied UV price analysis, check to measure Applied UV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied UV is operating at the current time. Most of Applied UV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied UV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied UV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied UV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Applied UV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied UV. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied UV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
12.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.65
Return On Assets
(0.20) 
Return On Equity
(0.39) 
The market value of Applied UV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied UV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied UV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied UV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied UV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied UV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Applied UV value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied UV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.