Atlantic Stock Future Price Prediction

AUB
 Stock
  

USD 34.68  0.05  0.14%   

Atlantic Union Bancshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Atlantic Union shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Atlantic Union's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atlantic Union and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atlantic Union's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlantic Union Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Atlantic Union based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Atlantic stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Atlantic Union over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.21) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.84
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.88
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.54
Wall Street Target Price
46.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.76
Using Atlantic Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic Union Bancshares from the perspective of Atlantic Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atlantic Union using Atlantic Union's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atlantic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atlantic Union's stock price.
Atlantic Union Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 17.20. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 1.14, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.01.

Atlantic Union Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Atlantic Union's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Atlantic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Atlantic Union stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Atlantic Union may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Atlantic Union and may potentially protect profits, hedge Atlantic Union with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
34.95
Short Percent
0.0143
Short Ratio
4.0
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
33.32
Shares Short
946.8 K

Atlantic Union Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Atlantic Union's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Atlantic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atlantic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atlantic Union Bancshares. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atlantic Union's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atlantic Union.

Atlantic Union Implied Volatility

    
  1.3  
Atlantic Union's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atlantic Union Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atlantic Union's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atlantic Union stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atlantic Union's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Atlantic Union. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlantic Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlantic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Atlantic Union after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 35.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atlantic Union in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.8938.8740.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.9736.0038.03
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0043.6745.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.113.403.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlantic Union. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlantic Union's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlantic Union's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atlantic Union Bancshares.

Atlantic Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlantic Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlantic Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlantic Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlantic Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic Union's historical news coverage. Atlantic Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.26 and 37.32, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 34.68
35.29
After-hype Price
37.32
Upside
Atlantic Union is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic Union Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlantic Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Atlantic Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.15  2.02   0.15    0.02  4 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.6835.290.40 
196.12  

Atlantic Union Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Atlantic Union Bancshares is traded for 34.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Atlantic is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 35.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 196.12%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.4% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic Union is about 1923.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 34.66. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atlantic Union Bancshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of August 2022. The firm had a split on the 16th of October 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Atlantic Union Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic Union's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic Union rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Atlantic Union Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Atlantic Union Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Atlantic Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlantic Union Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlantic Union based on analysis of Atlantic Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlantic Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlantic Union's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover5.44.824.814.01
Calculated Tax Rate16.2415.0717.222.69

Story Coverage note for Atlantic Union

The number of cover stories for Atlantic Union depends on current market conditions and Atlantic Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Atlantic Union Short Properties

Atlantic Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlantic Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlantic Union Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlantic Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.92%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.06
Short Percent Of Float2.16%
Float Shares73.69M
Shares Short Prior Month1.26M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day225.02k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month234.09k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.00%
Please continue to Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Atlantic Union Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Atlantic Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic Union is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atlantic Union's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic Union. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantic Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Market Capitalization
2.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.09) 
Return On Assets
0.0106
Return On Equity
0.0851
The market value of Atlantic Union Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantic Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantic Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atlantic Union value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantic Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.