A10 Networks Stock Future Price Prediction

ATEN
 Stock
  

USD 14.75  0.37  2.45%   

A10 Networks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of A10 Networks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of A10 Networks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of A10 Networks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from A10 Networks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with A10 Networks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of A10 Networks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The A10 Networks stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on A10 Networks over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.67
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.68
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.82
Wall Street Target Price
20.67
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.1
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Using A10 Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of A10 Networks from the perspective of A10 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards A10 Networks using A10 Networks' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards A10 Networks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of A10 Networks' stock price.
A10 Networks Revenue to Assets are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Revenue to Assets is estimated at 1.09. Total Assets Per Share is expected to rise to 4.92 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 23.76.

A10 Networks Implied Volatility

    
  50.29  
A10 Networks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of A10 Networks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if A10 Networks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that A10 Networks stock will not fluctuate a lot when A10 Networks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in A10 Networks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in A10 Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying A10 Networks because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

A10 Networks after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 14.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of A10 Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of A10 Networks in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.5716.3920.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6614.4818.29
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0018.0020.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.340.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as A10 Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against A10 Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, A10 Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in A10 Networks.

A10 Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of A10 Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in A10 Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of A10 Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

A10 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting A10 Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on A10 Networks' historical news coverage. A10 Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.00 and 18.64, respectively. We have considered A10 Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 14.75
14.82
After-hype Price
18.64
Upside
A10 Networks is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of A10 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

A10 Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as A10 Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading A10 Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with A10 Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.17  3.85  0.07   0.06  10 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.7514.820.47 
939.02  

A10 Networks Hype Timeline

A10 Networks is presently traded for 14.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. A10 Networks is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 14.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.47% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on A10 Networks is about 1031.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.81. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 257.87 M. Net Income was 98.58 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 196.54 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Please continue to A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

A10 Networks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to A10 Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict A10 Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how A10 Networks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how A10 Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FOURShift4 Payments 0.24 6 per month 0.00 (0.11)  7.38 (8.03)  23.33 
BBBlackberry 0.44 7 per month 0.00 (0.0404)  7.08 (7.40)  21.56 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 3.63 7 per month 0.00 (0.0272)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
HDHome Depot(1.46) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0191)  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 
DDDupont Denemours(2.11) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.00 (3.87)  9.53 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.38 8 per month 2.86  0.14  3.03 (3.96)  11.86 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 0.77 10 per month 0.00  0.0259  1.92 (2.17)  6.81 
AAAlcoa Corp 2.84 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  5.10 (6.70)  21.93 
MRKMerck Company(1.37) 8 per month 0.95  0.28  2.16 (1.65)  7.44 

A10 Networks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine A10 Networks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for A10 Networks using various technical indicators. When you analyze A10 Networks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About A10 Networks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of A10 Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as A10 Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of A10 Networks based on analysis of A10 Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to A10 Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to A10 Networks's related companies.
 2010 2021 2022 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate10.427.959.21
Interest Coverage10.499.449.38

Story Coverage note for A10 Networks

The number of cover stories for A10 Networks depends on current market conditions and A10 Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that A10 Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about A10 Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

A10 Networks Short Properties

A10 Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when A10 Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of A10 Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential A10 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. A10 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date13th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out5.64%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.10
Short Percent Of Float6.55%
Float Shares66.28M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day843.9k
Shares Short Prior Month4.81M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.2M
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022
Please continue to A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the A10 Networks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other A10 Networks' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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Is A10 Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of A10 Networks. If investors know A10 Networks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about A10 Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.67
Market Capitalization
1.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.0715
Return On Equity
0.63
The market value of A10 Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of A10 Networks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of A10 Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is A10 Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because A10 Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect A10 Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between A10 Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine A10 Networks value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, A10 Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.