Astra Stock Future Price Prediction

ASTR -  USA Stock  

USD 5.21  0.11  2.16%

Astra Space stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Astra Space shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Astra Space's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Astra Space and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Astra Space's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Astra Space, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Astra Space Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Astra Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Astra Space based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Astra stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Astra Space over a specific investment horizon. Using Astra Space hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astra Space from the perspective of Astra Space response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Astra Space using Astra Space's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Astra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Astra Space's stock price.

Astra Space Implied Volatility

    
  266.14  
Astra Space's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Astra Space stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Astra Space's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Astra Space stock will not fluctuate a lot when Astra Space's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Astra Space. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Astra Space to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Astra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Astra Space after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 5.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astra Space's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Astra Space in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.766.6311.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.094.969.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.0011.0013.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.14-0.91-0.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astra Space. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astra Space's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astra Space's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Astra Space.

Astra Space After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Astra Space at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astra Space or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Astra Space, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Astra Space Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Astra Space's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astra Space's historical news coverage. Astra Space's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.47 and 10.23, respectively. We have considered Astra Space's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.21
21st of January 2022
5.35
After-hype Price
10.23
Upside
Astra Space is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astra Space is based on 3 months time horizon.

Astra Space Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Astra Space is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astra Space backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astra Space, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.91  4.88  0.10   0.52  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.215.351.90 
4,436  

Astra Space Hype Timeline

Astra Space is presently traded for 5.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.52. Astra is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 5.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 1.9% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.91%. The volatility of related hype on Astra Space is about 847.88% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.69. Net Loss for the year was (1.26 B). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please continue to Astra Space Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Astra Space Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Astra Space's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astra Space's future price movements. Getting to know how Astra Space rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astra Space may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMB
Ambassadors International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BKNG
Booking Holdings(5.51) 9 per month 0.00  0.0026  5.08 (3.53)  14.68 
CCL
Carnival Corp(0.1) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0227)  8.08 (4.23)  19.31 
CHI
China Infrastructure Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CLV2
Classic Vacation Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CRNS
Cronos Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CTIX
Cheap Tickets 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DESP
Despegar Corp 0.43 4 per month 0.00 (0.12)  6.23 (4.98)  19.11 
EBKR
Ebookers Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Astra Space Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Astra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Astra Space Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Astra Space stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Astra Space, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astra Space based on analysis of Astra Space hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Astra Space's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astra Space's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Astra Space

The number of cover stories for Astra Space depends on current market conditions and Astra Space's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Astra Space is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Astra Space's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Astra Space Short Properties

Astra Space's future price predictability will typically decrease when Astra Space's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Astra Space often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Astra Space's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astra Space's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.76%
Short Percent Of Float8.20%
Float Shares87.96M
Shares Short Prior Month9.27M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.2M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.24M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Please continue to Astra Space Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Astra Space information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Astra Space's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Astra Stock analysis

When running Astra Space price analysis, check to measure Astra Space's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astra Space is operating at the current time. Most of Astra Space's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astra Space's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astra Space's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astra Space to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Astra Space's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astra Space. If investors know Astra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astra Space listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Astra Space is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astra Space's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astra Space's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astra Space's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astra Space's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astra Space's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Astra Space value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astra Space's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.