American Mutual Fund Price Prediction Breakdown

ARREX
 Fund
  

USD 29.83  0.13  0.43%   

American Century Real fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Century shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Century's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Century and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Century's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Century Real, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to American Century Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Century based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Century over a specific investment horizon.Using American Century hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Century Real from the perspective of American Century response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Century. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Century to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Century after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 29.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Century's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Century in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.9229.3630.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.9130.3631.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.4828.2530.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Century. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Century's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Century's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Century Real.

American Century After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Century at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Century or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of American Century, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Century Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Century's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Century's historical news coverage. American Century's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.41 and 31.29, respectively. We have considered American Century's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 29.83
29.85
After-hype Price
31.29
Upside
American Century is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Century Real is based on 1 month time horizon.

American Century Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as American Century is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Century backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Century, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.40  1.10  0.08   0.03  1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.8329.850.07 
523.81  

American Century Hype Timeline

American Century Real is presently traded for 29.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 29.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.07% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on American Century is about 1571.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.86. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Please continue to American Century Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Century Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Century's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Century's future price movements. Getting to know how American Century rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Century may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MRKMerck Company 0.07 10 per month 0.00 (0.54)  1.16 (2.76)  4.08 

American Century Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Century Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Century stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Century Real, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Century based on analysis of American Century hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Century's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Century's related companies.

Story Coverage note for American Century

The number of cover stories for American Century depends on current market conditions and American Century's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Century is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Century's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Please continue to American Century Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Century Real information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Century's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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When running American Century Real price analysis, check to measure American Century's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Century is operating at the current time. Most of American Century's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Century's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Century's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Century to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Century value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.