Evoqua Stock Future Price Prediction

AQUA
 Stock
  

USD 43.06  0.16  0.37%   

Evoqua Water Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Evoqua Water shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Evoqua Water's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Evoqua Water and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Evoqua Water's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Evoqua Water Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Evoqua Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Evoqua Water based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Evoqua stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Evoqua Water over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.496
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.85
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.94
Wall Street Target Price
46.44
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.32
Using Evoqua Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evoqua Water Technologies from the perspective of Evoqua Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Evoqua Water using Evoqua Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Evoqua using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Evoqua Water's stock price.
Evoqua Water Interest Coverage is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 2.85. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 1.25, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is forecasted to decline to (4.48) .

Evoqua Water Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Evoqua Water's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Evoqua. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Evoqua Water stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Evoqua Water may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Evoqua Water and may potentially protect profits, hedge Evoqua Water with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
38.4551
Short Percent
0.0241
Short Ratio
3.65
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
38.3348
Shares Short
2.6 M

Evoqua Water Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Evoqua Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Evoqua. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Evoqua can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Evoqua Water Technologies. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Evoqua Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Evoqua Water.

Evoqua Water Implied Volatility

    
  47.84  
Evoqua Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Evoqua Water Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Evoqua Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Evoqua Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Evoqua Water's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Evoqua Water. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Evoqua Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Evoqua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Evoqua Water after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Evoqua contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Evoqua Water Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.99% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Evoqua Water trading at USD43.06, that is roughly USD1.29. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Evoqua Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Evoqua Water Technologies options at the current volatility level of 47.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evoqua Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Evoqua Water in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
42.4445.6948.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
38.6941.9445.20
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0041.4357.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.590.670.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Evoqua Water. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Evoqua Water's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Evoqua Water's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Evoqua Water Technologies.

Evoqua Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Evoqua Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evoqua Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evoqua Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Evoqua Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Evoqua Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evoqua Water's historical news coverage. Evoqua Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.60 and 46.10, respectively. We have considered Evoqua Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 43.06
42.85
After-hype Price
46.10
Upside
Evoqua Water is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evoqua Water Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Evoqua Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Evoqua Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evoqua Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evoqua Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.32  3.25   0.21    0.03  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.0642.850.49 
492.42  

Evoqua Water Hype Timeline

Evoqua Water Technologies is presently traded for 43.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Evoqua is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 42.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.49% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Evoqua Water is about 3250.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 43.03. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.82. Evoqua Water Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:2 split on the 10th of May 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please continue to Evoqua Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Evoqua Water Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Evoqua Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evoqua Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Evoqua Water rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evoqua Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Evoqua Water Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Evoqua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evoqua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evoqua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Evoqua Water Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Evoqua Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evoqua Water Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evoqua Water based on analysis of Evoqua Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evoqua Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evoqua Water's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.791.261.221.25
Interest Coverage2.312.512.853.07

Story Coverage note for Evoqua Water

The number of cover stories for Evoqua Water depends on current market conditions and Evoqua Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evoqua Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evoqua Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Evoqua Water Short Properties

Evoqua Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Evoqua Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evoqua Water Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evoqua Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evoqua Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122900000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments134005000.00
Please continue to Evoqua Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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Is Evoqua Water's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evoqua Water. If investors know Evoqua will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evoqua Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.496
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.185
Return On Assets
0.0361
Return On Equity
0.112
The market value of Evoqua Water Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evoqua that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evoqua Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evoqua Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evoqua Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evoqua Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evoqua Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Evoqua Water value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evoqua Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.