Air Products Stock Future Price Prediction

APD
 Stock
  

USD 237.07  1.45  0.61%   

Air Products And stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Air Products shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Air Products' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Air Products and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Air Products' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air Products And, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Air Products based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Air Products stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Air Products over a specific investment horizon.Using Air Products hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Products And from the perspective of Air Products response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Air Products using Air Products' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Air Products using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Air Products' stock price.

Air Products Implied Volatility

    
  21.63  
Air Products' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Air Products And stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Air Products' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Air Products stock will not fluctuate a lot when Air Products' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Air Products. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air Products to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air Products because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Air Products after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 237.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Air Products contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Air Products And will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.35% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Air Products trading at $237.07, that is roughly $3.2. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Air Products' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Air Products And options at the current volatility level of 21.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Products' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Air Products in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
213.36282.18283.73
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
269.00321.75370.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air Products. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air Products' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air Products' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Air Products And.

Air Products After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Air Products at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air Products or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Air Products, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Air Products Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Air Products' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air Products' historical news coverage. Air Products' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.72 and 238.82, respectively. We have considered Air Products' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 237.07
235.72
Downside
237.27
After-hype Price
238.82
Upside
Air Products is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Products And is based on 3 months time horizon.

Air Products Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Air Products is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Products backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air Products, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04  1.55  0.02   0.02  7 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
237.07237.270.08 
258.33  

Air Products Hype Timeline

On the 24th of September Air Products And is traded for 237.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Air Products is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 237.27 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Air Products is about 310.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 237.09. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.39 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.17 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.14 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please continue to Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Air Products Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Air Products' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air Products' future price movements. Getting to know how Air Products rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air Products may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IBAIndustrias Bachoco SA 0.50 3 per month 1.14  0.1  2.34 (1.88)  11.96 

Air Products Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Air Products price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air Products using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air Products charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Air Products Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Air Products stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air Products And, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Products based on analysis of Air Products hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air Products's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air Products's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Air Products

The number of cover stories for Air Products depends on current market conditions and Air Products' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air Products is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air Products' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Air Products Short Properties

Air Products' future price predictability will typically decrease when Air Products' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air Products And often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.94%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.36
Short Percent Of Float0.94%
Float Shares220.9M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day775.12k
Shares Short Prior Month2.72M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month993.63k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.22%
Please continue to Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Air Products And price analysis, check to measure Air Products' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Products is operating at the current time. Most of Air Products' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Products' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Products' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Products to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Products' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Products. If investors know Air Products will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Products listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Air Products And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air Products that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Products' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Products' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Products' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Products' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Products' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Air Products value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Products' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.