American Stock Future Price Prediction

AMNB -  USA Stock  

USD 37.17  0.67  1.77%

American Natl Bksh stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Natl shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Natl's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Natl and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Natl's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Natl Bksh, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to American Natl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Natl based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Natl over a specific investment horizon. Using American Natl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Natl Bksh from the perspective of American Natl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Natl using American Natl's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Natl's stock price.
American Natl Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 19.19. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 0.51, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.67.

American Natl Implied Volatility

    
  16.38  
American Natl's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Natl Bksh stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Natl's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Natl stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Natl's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Natl. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Natl to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Natl after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 36.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Natl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Natl in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.3832.9440.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.0436.6040.16
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
37.0038.2539.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.003.263.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Natl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Natl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Natl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Natl Bksh.

American Natl After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Natl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Natl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of American Natl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Natl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Natl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Natl's historical news coverage. American Natl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.19 and 40.31, respectively. We have considered American Natl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.17
3rd of December 2021
36.75
After-hype Price
40.31
Upside
American Natl is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Natl Bksh is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Natl Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as American Natl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Natl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Natl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20  1.97  0.06   0.01  3 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.1736.750.00 
703.57  

American Natl Hype Timeline

American Natl Bksh is presently traded for 37.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. American estimated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis estimated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Natl is about 3283.33%. The volatility of related hype on American Natl is about 3283.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 37.18. About 39.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Natl Bksh has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 2nd of September 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of July 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Please continue to American Natl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Natl Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Natl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Natl's future price movements. Getting to know how American Natl rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Natl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

American Natl Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Natl Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Natl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Natl Bksh, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Natl based on analysis of American Natl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Natl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Natl's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
PPandE Turnover3.123.252.822.67
Calculated Tax Rate20.018.8719.1925.93

Story Coverage note for American Natl

The number of cover stories for American Natl depends on current market conditions and American Natl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Natl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Natl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Natl Short Properties

American Natl's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Natl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Natl Bksh often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Natl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Natl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.94%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.08
Short Percent Of Float0.97%
Float Shares10.36M
Shares Short Prior Month114k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day15.48k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month18.58k
Date Short Interest30th of September 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.85%
Please continue to American Natl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Natl Bksh information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Natl's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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When running American Natl Bksh price analysis, check to measure American Natl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Natl is operating at the current time. Most of American Natl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Natl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Natl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Natl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Natl's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Natl. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Natl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of American Natl Bksh is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Natl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Natl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Natl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Natl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Natl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Natl value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Natl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.