Ametek Stock Future Price Prediction

AME
 Stock
  

USD 142.08  2.31  1.60%   

Ametek Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ametek shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ametek's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ametek and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ametek's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ametek Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ametek based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ametek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ametek over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.43
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.63
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.97
Wall Street Target Price
150.23
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.37
Using Ametek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ametek Inc from the perspective of Ametek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Ametek Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 19.06. The current year Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to grow to 17.70, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 8.87.

Ametek Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ametek's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Ametek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ametek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ametek Inc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ametek's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ametek.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ametek. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ametek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ametek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ametek after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 141.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ametek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ametek in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
127.87160.94162.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
140.22141.92143.61
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
127.00162.50175.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.774.794.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ametek. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ametek's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ametek's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ametek Inc.

Ametek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ametek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ametek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ametek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ametek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ametek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ametek's historical news coverage. Ametek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 140.26 and 143.66, respectively. We have considered Ametek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 142.08
140.26
Downside
141.96
After-hype Price
143.66
Upside
Ametek is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ametek Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ametek Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Ametek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ametek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ametek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.29  1.70   0.12    0.11  5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
142.08141.960.08 
404.76  

Ametek Hype Timeline

On the 5th of December Ametek Inc is traded for 142.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Ametek is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 141.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.08% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Ametek is about 443.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 141.97. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Ametek was presently reported as 31.06. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.79. Ametek Inc last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 2nd of July 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Please continue to Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ametek Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ametek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ametek's future price movements. Getting to know how Ametek rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ametek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CLWTEuro Tech Holdings(0.05) 7 per month 3.33  0.0007  7.32 (5.30)  20.30 
URIUnited Rentals 3.84 9 per month 2.26  0.09  4.25 (3.62)  11.76 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.92) 10 per month 1.22  0.1  2.80 (2.03)  6.50 
PFEPfizer Inc 1.26 7 per month 1.18  0.0466  3.14 (1.99)  6.70 
CSCOCisco Systems 0.42 8 per month 1.32  0.0441  3.23 (1.96)  6.31 
CVXChevron Corp(0.89) 10 per month 1.91  0.07  3.37 (2.91)  9.61 
BACBank Of America(0.95) 1 per month 1.82 (0.0026)  4.14 (2.89)  9.00 
HDHome Depot(0.92) 8 per month 1.89  0.038  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 
CATCaterpillar(5.20) 9 per month 1.40  0.15  4.36 (2.70)  9.57 
VZVerizon Communications(0.42) 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.21 (2.62)  7.59 

Ametek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ametek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ametek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ametek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ametek Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ametek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ametek Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ametek based on analysis of Ametek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ametek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ametek's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.380.32
Interest Coverage11.9416.28

Story Coverage note for Ametek

The number of cover stories for Ametek depends on current market conditions and Ametek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ametek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ametek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ametek Short Properties

Ametek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ametek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ametek Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ametek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ametek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding231150000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments346772000.00
Please continue to Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Ametek Inc price analysis, check to measure Ametek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ametek is operating at the current time. Most of Ametek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ametek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ametek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ametek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ametek's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ametek. If investors know Ametek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ametek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
Market Capitalization
32.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.077
Return On Assets
0.0773
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Ametek Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ametek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ametek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ametek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ametek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ametek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ametek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ametek value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ametek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.