AMC Entertainment Stock Future Price Prediction

AMC
 Stock
  

USD 7.33  0.10  1.38%   

AMC Entertainment stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AMC Entertainment shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AMC Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMC Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMC Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AMC Entertainment based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AMC Entertainment stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.14) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.20) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.38) 
Wall Street Target Price
2.68
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.25) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.27
Using AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings from the perspective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AMC Entertainment using AMC Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AMC Entertainment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AMC Entertainment's stock price.
AMC Entertainment Interest Coverage is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 0.46. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 4.61, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to (43.42) .

AMC Entertainment Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in AMC Entertainment's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AMC Entertainment. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AMC Entertainment stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long AMC Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AMC Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge AMC Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.33
Short Percent
0.22
Short Ratio
4.49
Shares Short Prior Month
104.4 M
50 Day MA
6.87
Shares Short
111.5 M

AMC Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to AMC Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in AMC Entertainment. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMC Entertainment can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMC Entertainment Holdings. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMC Entertainment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMC Entertainment.

AMC Entertainment Implied Volatility

    
  175.61  
AMC Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AMC Entertainment Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AMC Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AMC Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when AMC Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AMC Entertainment. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMC Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMC Entertainment because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AMC Entertainment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AMC Entertainment contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AMC Entertainment Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 10.98% per day over the life of the 2022-12-02 option contract. With AMC Entertainment trading at USD7.33, that is roughly USD0.8. If you think that the market is fully incorporating AMC Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AMC Entertainment Holdings options at the current volatility level of 175.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AMC Entertainment in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.027.2213.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.667.8614.05
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.008.1716.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.76-2.68-2.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMC Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMC Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AMC Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AMC Entertainment.

AMC Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AMC Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMC Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMC Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AMC Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMC Entertainment's historical news coverage. AMC Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.02 and 13.42, respectively. We have considered AMC Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.33
7.22
After-hype Price
13.42
Upside
AMC Entertainment is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

AMC Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as AMC Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMC Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMC Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14  6.23   0.02   0.14  7 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.337.220.14 
5,664  

AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December AMC Entertainment is traded for 7.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. AMC Entertainment is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 7.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.14% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 642.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.47. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.37. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please continue to AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AMC Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMC Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how AMC Entertainment rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMC Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AMC Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMC Entertainment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMC Entertainment using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMC Entertainment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AMC Entertainment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AMC Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMC Entertainment Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMC Entertainment based on analysis of AMC Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMC Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMC Entertainment's related companies.
 2018 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.853.974.574.61
Interest Coverage0.770.40.460.47

Story Coverage note for AMC Entertainment

The number of cover stories for AMC Entertainment depends on current market conditions and AMC Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMC Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMC Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AMC Entertainment Short Properties

AMC Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMC Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMC Entertainment Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding477410000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1592000000.00
Please continue to AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running AMC Entertainment price analysis, check to measure AMC Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AMC Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMC Entertainment. If investors know AMC Entertainment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMC Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
3.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.27
Return On Assets
(0.0172) 
Return On Equity
-100 K
The market value of AMC Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMC Entertainment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMC Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMC Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMC Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMC Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMC Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AMC Entertainment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.