Acadia Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 15.38  0.18  1.18%   

Acadia Realty Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Acadia Realty shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Acadia Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Acadia Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Acadia Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acadia Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Acadia Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Acadia Realty based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Acadia stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Acadia Realty over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Using Acadia Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acadia Realty Trust from the perspective of Acadia Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acadia Realty using Acadia Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acadia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acadia Realty's stock price.
Acadia Realty Cash and Equivalents Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Acadia Realty reported last year Cash and Equivalents Turnover of 15.82. As of 11/30/2022, Return on Investment is likely to grow to 0.63, while Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 43.59.

Acadia Realty Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Acadia Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Acadia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Acadia Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Acadia Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Acadia Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Acadia Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
Shares Short
1.6 M

Acadia Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Acadia Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Acadia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acadia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acadia Realty Trust. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acadia Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acadia Realty.

Acadia Realty Implied Volatility

Acadia Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acadia Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acadia Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acadia Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acadia Realty's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Acadia Realty. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acadia Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acadia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Acadia Realty after-hype prediction price

  $ 15.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acadia Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Acadia Realty in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
4 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acadia Realty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acadia Realty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acadia Realty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Acadia Realty Trust.

Acadia Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Acadia Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acadia Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acadia Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Acadia Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Acadia Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acadia Realty's historical news coverage. Acadia Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.83 and 17.97, respectively. We have considered Acadia Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 15.38
After-hype Price
Acadia Realty is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acadia Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Acadia Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Acadia Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acadia Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acadia Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03  2.57  0.02    0.01  4 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Acadia Realty Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November Acadia Realty Trust is traded for 15.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Acadia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 15.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.13% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Acadia Realty is about 616.8% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.37. The company reported the last year's revenue of 324.48 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 30.76 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 199.65 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Acadia Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Acadia Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Acadia Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acadia Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Acadia Realty rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acadia Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Acadia Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acadia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acadia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acadia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Acadia Realty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Acadia Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acadia Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acadia Realty based on analysis of Acadia Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acadia Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acadia Realty's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.161.21.42
Interest Coverage0.640.390.4

Story Coverage note for Acadia Realty

The number of cover stories for Acadia Realty depends on current market conditions and Acadia Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acadia Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acadia Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Acadia Realty Short Properties

Acadia Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acadia Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acadia Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acadia Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.45%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.15
Short Percent Of Float4.47%
Float Shares94.26M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day665.46k
Shares Short Prior Month2.1M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month637.65k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.00%
Please continue to Acadia Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Acadia Realty Trust price analysis, check to measure Acadia Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Is Acadia Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadia Realty. If investors know Acadia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acadia Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
1.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Acadia Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acadia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acadia Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acadia Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acadia Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acadia Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acadia Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Acadia Realty value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acadia Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.