Apartment Stock Future Price Prediction

AIV
 Stock
  

USD 9.60  0.40  4.35%   

Apartment Investment And stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Apartment Investment shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Apartment Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Apartment Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Apartment Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apartment Investment And, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Apartment Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Apartment Investment based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Apartment stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apartment Investment over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.63
Wall Street Target Price
40.0
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.25
Using Apartment Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apartment Investment And from the perspective of Apartment Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Apartment Investment using Apartment Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Apartment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Apartment Investment's stock price.
Apartment Investment Book Value per Share is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Apartment Investment reported Book Value per Share of 3.35 in 2021. Dividend Yield is likely to climb to 0.59 in 2022, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is likely to drop (0.77)  in 2022.

Apartment Investment Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Apartment Investment's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Apartment. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Apartment Investment stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Apartment Investment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Apartment Investment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Apartment Investment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.09
Short Percent
0.13
Short Ratio
8.95
Shares Short Prior Month
9.3 M
50 Day MA
7.03
Shares Short
11.5 M
Beta
0.6

Apartment Investment And Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Apartment Investment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Apartment. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apartment can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apartment Investment And. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Apartment Investment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Apartment Investment.

Apartment Investment Implied Volatility

    
  55.64  
Apartment Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apartment Investment And stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apartment Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apartment Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apartment Investment's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Apartment Investment. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Apartment Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Apartment because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Apartment Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 9.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apartment Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Apartment Investment in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.6417.5119.65
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.0040.5041.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apartment Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apartment Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apartment Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Apartment Investment And.

Apartment Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Apartment Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apartment Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Apartment Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Apartment Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Apartment Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apartment Investment's historical news coverage. Apartment Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.57 and 11.85, respectively. We have considered Apartment Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 9.60
9.71
After-hype Price
11.85
Upside
Apartment Investment is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apartment Investment And is based on 3 months time horizon.

Apartment Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Apartment Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apartment Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apartment Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.82  2.20  0.07   0.06  6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.609.711.15 
2,444  

Apartment Investment Hype Timeline

On the 14th of August 2022 Apartment Investment And is traded for 9.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Apartment is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 9.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 1.15% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.82%. The volatility of related hype on Apartment Investment is about 3142.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.28 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 237.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 103.2 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please continue to Apartment Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apartment Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Apartment Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apartment Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Apartment Investment rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apartment Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AATAmerican Assets Trust 0.63 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.43 (2.48)  7.37 
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill 0.84 11 per month 2.13  0.11  4.28 (3.84)  16.34 
NCMINational Cinemedia(0.07) 6 per month 6.00  0.0454  9.73 (8.26)  38.74 
AAgilent Technologies 1.55 8 per month 1.89  0.07  4.22 (3.15)  8.98 
IRBTIrobot Corp(0.03) 5 per month 3.40  0.08  6.53 (5.22)  19.17 
GOOGLAlphabet Cl A(2.32) 10 per month 2.22  0.0173  4.20 (3.92)  10.75 
EPRTEssential Properties Realty(0.19) 6 per month 1.71  0.10  2.79 (2.50)  10.71 
RKLBRocket Lab USA 0.15 8 per month 4.52  0.08  8.25 (7.11)  29.87 

Apartment Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Apartment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apartment using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apartment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Apartment Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Apartment Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Apartment Investment And, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apartment Investment based on analysis of Apartment Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Apartment Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Apartment Investment's related companies.
 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.532.363.17
Interest Coverage1.00.90.89

Story Coverage note for Apartment Investment

The number of cover stories for Apartment Investment depends on current market conditions and Apartment Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apartment Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apartment Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Apartment Investment Short Properties

Apartment Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apartment Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apartment Investment And often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apartment Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apartment Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date3rd of November 2020
Shares Percent Shares Out7.24%
Short Percent Of Float12.32%
Float Shares128.23M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.74M
Shares Short Prior Month10.32M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.87M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to Apartment Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Apartment Investment And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Apartment Investment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Apartment Investment And price analysis, check to measure Apartment Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apartment Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Apartment Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apartment Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apartment Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apartment Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Apartment Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apartment Investment. If investors know Apartment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apartment Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.63
Market Capitalization
1.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.25
Return On Assets
-0.0056
Return On Equity
0.36
The market value of Apartment Investment And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apartment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apartment Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apartment Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apartment Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apartment Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apartment Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Apartment Investment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apartment Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.