Agiliti Stock Future Price Prediction

AGTI
 Stock
  

USD 17.40  0.57  3.39%   

Agiliti stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Agiliti shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Agiliti's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Agiliti and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Agiliti's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agiliti, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Agiliti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Agiliti based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Agiliti stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Agiliti over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.86) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.87
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.91
Wall Street Target Price
20.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.16
Using Agiliti hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agiliti from the perspective of Agiliti response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Agiliti. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agiliti to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agiliti because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Agiliti after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agiliti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Agiliti in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.3920.0823.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.5519.2422.92
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0026.1230.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.850.860.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agiliti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agiliti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agiliti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Agiliti.

Agiliti After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Agiliti at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agiliti or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agiliti, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Agiliti Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Agiliti's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agiliti's historical news coverage. Agiliti's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.14 and 20.52, respectively. We have considered Agiliti's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.40
16.83
After-hype Price
20.52
Upside
Agiliti is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agiliti is based on 3 months time horizon.

Agiliti Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Agiliti is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agiliti backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agiliti, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.18  3.71  0.00    0.27  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.4016.830.00 
0.00  

Agiliti Hype Timeline

Agiliti is presently traded for 17.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.27. Agiliti anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Agiliti is about 247.33%. The volatility of related hype on Agiliti is about 247.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.13. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Agiliti was presently reported as 7.02. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.15. Agiliti last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Please continue to Agiliti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Agiliti Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Agiliti's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agiliti's future price movements. Getting to know how Agiliti rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agiliti may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Agiliti Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Agiliti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agiliti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agiliti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Agiliti Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Agiliti stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agiliti, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agiliti based on analysis of Agiliti hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agiliti's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agiliti's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Agiliti

The number of cover stories for Agiliti depends on current market conditions and Agiliti's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agiliti is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agiliti's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Agiliti Short Properties

Agiliti's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agiliti's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agiliti often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agiliti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agiliti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128497220.00
Cash And Short Term Investments74325000.00
Please continue to Agiliti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Agiliti price analysis, check to measure Agiliti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agiliti is operating at the current time. Most of Agiliti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agiliti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agiliti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agiliti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agiliti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agiliti. If investors know Agiliti will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agiliti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.86) 
Market Capitalization
2.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.033
Return On Assets
0.0285
Return On Equity
0.0408
The market value of Agiliti is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agiliti that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agiliti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agiliti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agiliti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agiliti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agiliti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Agiliti value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agiliti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.