Agnico-Eagle Stock Future Price Prediction

AEM
 Stock
  

USD 41.43  0.71  1.74%   

Agnico-Eagle Mines stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Agnico-Eagle Mines shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Agnico-Eagle Mines' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Agnico-Eagle Mines and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Agnico-Eagle Mines' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agnico-Eagle Mines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Agnico-Eagle Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Agnico-Eagle Mines based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Agnico-Eagle stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Agnico-Eagle Mines over a specific investment horizon.Using Agnico-Eagle Mines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agnico-Eagle Mines from the perspective of Agnico-Eagle Mines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agnico-Eagle Mines using Agnico-Eagle Mines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agnico-Eagle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agnico-Eagle Mines' stock price.

Agnico-Eagle Mines Implied Volatility

    
  54.4  
Agnico-Eagle Mines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agnico-Eagle Mines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agnico-Eagle Mines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agnico-Eagle Mines stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agnico-Eagle Mines' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Agnico-Eagle Mines. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agnico-Eagle Mines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agnico-Eagle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Agnico-Eagle Mines after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 41.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agnico-Eagle contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agnico-Eagle Mines will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.4% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Agnico-Eagle Mines trading at $41.43, that is roughly $1.41. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agnico-Eagle Mines' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agnico-Eagle Mines options at the current volatility level of 54.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agnico-Eagle Mines' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Agnico-Eagle Mines in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
37.2949.8952.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
37.0039.6842.36
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0075.00110.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.6241.6643.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agnico-Eagle Mines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agnico-Eagle Mines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agnico-Eagle Mines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Agnico-Eagle Mines.

Agnico-Eagle Mines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Agnico-Eagle Mines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agnico-Eagle Mines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agnico-Eagle Mines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Agnico-Eagle Mines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Agnico-Eagle Mines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agnico-Eagle Mines' historical news coverage. Agnico-Eagle Mines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.92 and 44.28, respectively. We have considered Agnico-Eagle Mines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 41.43
41.60
After-hype Price
44.28
Upside
Agnico-Eagle Mines is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agnico-Eagle Mines is based on 3 months time horizon.

Agnico-Eagle Mines Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Agnico-Eagle Mines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agnico-Eagle Mines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agnico-Eagle Mines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12  2.66  0.11   0.23  8 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.4341.600.41 
282.98  

Agnico-Eagle Mines Hype Timeline

On the 30th of September Agnico-Eagle Mines is traded for 41.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Agnico-Eagle is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 41.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.41% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Agnico-Eagle Mines is about 137.11% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 41.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.81 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 593.81 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.1 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Please continue to Agnico-Eagle Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Agnico-Eagle Mines Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Agnico-Eagle Mines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agnico-Eagle Mines' future price movements. Getting to know how Agnico-Eagle Mines rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agnico-Eagle Mines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 1.94 8 per month 0.00  0.026  3.33 (3.69)  9.95 

Agnico-Eagle Mines Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Agnico-Eagle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agnico-Eagle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agnico-Eagle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Agnico-Eagle Mines Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Agnico-Eagle Mines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agnico-Eagle Mines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agnico-Eagle Mines based on analysis of Agnico-Eagle Mines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agnico-Eagle Mines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agnico-Eagle Mines's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Agnico-Eagle Mines

The number of cover stories for Agnico-Eagle Mines depends on current market conditions and Agnico-Eagle Mines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agnico-Eagle Mines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agnico-Eagle Mines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Agnico-Eagle Mines Short Properties

Agnico-Eagle Mines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Agnico-Eagle Mines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agnico-Eagle Mines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agnico-Eagle Mines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agnico-Eagle Mines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.55%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.10
Short Percent Of Float1.63%
Float Shares451.44M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.16M
Shares Short Prior Month6.41M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.17M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.93%
Please continue to Agnico-Eagle Mines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Agnico-Eagle Mines information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Agnico-Eagle Mines' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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Is Agnico-Eagle Mines' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agnico-Eagle Mines. If investors know Agnico-Eagle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agnico-Eagle Mines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Agnico-Eagle Mines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agnico-Eagle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agnico-Eagle Mines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agnico-Eagle Mines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agnico-Eagle Mines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agnico-Eagle Mines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agnico-Eagle Mines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Agnico-Eagle Mines value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agnico-Eagle Mines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.