Advantage Stock Future Price Prediction

ADV -  USA Stock  

USD 4.35  0.17  4.07%

Advantage Solutions stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Advantage Solutions shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Advantage Solutions' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Advantage Solutions and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Advantage Solutions' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Advantage Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Advantage Solutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Advantage Solutions based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Advantage stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Advantage Solutions over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.6
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.72
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.73
Wall Street Target Price
6.33
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.16
Using Advantage Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advantage Solutions from the perspective of Advantage Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Advantage Solutions using Advantage Solutions' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Advantage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Advantage Solutions' stock price.
Advantage Solutions Book Value per Share is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Advantage Solutions reported Book Value per Share of 7.80 in 2021. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to climb to 1.55 in 2022, whereas Current Ratio is likely to drop 1.63 in 2022.

Advantage Solutions Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Advantage Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Advantage Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Advantage Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Advantage Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Advantage Solutions' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Advantage Solutions. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Advantage Solutions to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Advantage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Advantage Solutions after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advantage Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Advantage Solutions in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.915.515.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.314.314.31
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.009.009.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.670.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advantage Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advantage Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advantage Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Advantage Solutions.

Advantage Solutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Advantage Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Advantage Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Advantage Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Advantage Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Advantage Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Advantage Solutions' historical news coverage. Advantage Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.35 and 4.35, respectively. We have considered Advantage Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.35
4.35
After-hype Price
4.35
Upside
Advantage Solutions is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Advantage Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.

Advantage Solutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Advantage Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advantage Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Advantage Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.52  3.64  0.09   0.06  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.354.350.00 
2,022  

Advantage Solutions Hype Timeline

On the 24th of June Advantage Solutions is traded for 4.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Advantage forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.52%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Advantage Solutions is about 3150.0%. The volatility of related hype on Advantage Solutions is about 3150.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.41. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Advantage Solutions has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.44. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.4. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Advantage Solutions had a split on the 5th of September 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please continue to Advantage Solutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Advantage Solutions Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Advantage Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Advantage Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Advantage Solutions rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Advantage Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTNRVertex Energy(1.19) 9 per month 5.43  0.13  11.53 (9.66)  30.84 
GEGeneral Electric(0.45) 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.88 (4.93)  13.22 
AAAlcoa Corp 2.84 8 per month 0.00 (0.16)  5.10 (6.70)  21.93 
BABoeing Company 2.37 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
INTCIntel Corp(1.63) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.21 (3.64)  13.88 
KOCoca-Cola 0.68 7 per month 1.77  0.15  1.87 (2.01)  10.05 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.0093)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
PGProcter Gamble(2.01) 8 per month 0.00  0.05  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 
MRKMerck Company 0.34 9 per month 0.81  0.30  2.16 (1.54)  7.44 

Advantage Solutions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Advantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Advantage Solutions Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Advantage Solutions stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Advantage Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advantage Solutions based on analysis of Advantage Solutions hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Advantage Solutions's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Advantage Solutions's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share10.857.89.06
Asset Turnover0.990.620.64

Story Coverage note for Advantage Solutions

The number of cover stories for Advantage Solutions depends on current market conditions and Advantage Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Advantage Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Advantage Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Advantage Solutions Short Properties

Advantage Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Advantage Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Advantage Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Advantage Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advantage Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.93%
Short Percent Of Float3.18%
Float Shares93.2M
Shares Short Prior Month3.14M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day507.53k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month506.08k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please continue to Advantage Solutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Advantage Solutions information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advantage Solutions' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Advantage Stock analysis

When running Advantage Solutions price analysis, check to measure Advantage Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advantage Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Advantage Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advantage Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advantage Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advantage Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Advantage Solutions' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advantage Solutions. If investors know Advantage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advantage Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.6
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.16
Return On Assets
0.0278
Return On Equity
0.0295
The market value of Advantage Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advantage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advantage Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advantage Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advantage Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advantage Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advantage Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Advantage Solutions value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advantage Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.