Acme United Stock Future Price Prediction

ACU -  USA Stock  

USD 32.95  1.00  3.13%

Acme United Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Acme United shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Acme United's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Acme United and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Acme United's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acme United Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Acme United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Acme United based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Acme United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Acme United over a specific investment horizon. Using Acme United hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acme United Corp from the perspective of Acme United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Acme United Price to Sales Ratio is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Acme United reported Price to Sales Ratio of 0.66 in 2021
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Acme United. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acme United to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acme United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Acme United after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 32.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acme United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Acme United in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.9828.5836.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
30.1431.7433.34
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.0024.0024.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.8233.1434.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acme United. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acme United's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acme United's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Acme United Corp.

Acme United After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Acme United at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acme United or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Acme United, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Acme United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Acme United's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acme United's historical news coverage. Acme United's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.22 and 34.42, respectively. We have considered Acme United's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 32.95
32.82
After-hype Price
34.42
Upside
Acme United is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acme United Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Acme United Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Acme United is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acme United backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acme United, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.03  1.59  0.00   0.00  4 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.9532.820.00 
1,060  

Acme United Hype Timeline

On the 27th of May Acme United Corp is traded for 32.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acme United forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Acme United is about 2345.9%. The volatility of related hype on Acme United is about 2345.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 32.95. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acme United Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 31st of March 2022. The firm had 1:28 split on the 26th of July 1983. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Acme United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Acme United Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Acme United's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acme United's future price movements. Getting to know how Acme United rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acme United may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACV1ALBERTO-CULVER CO 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ASAISendas Distribuidora SA(0.61) 1 per month 2.11  0.15  4.87 (4.25)  16.33 
AVPAVON PRODUCTS INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AZUR1AZUREL LTD 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BAREBARE ESCENTUALS INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BLOCABLOCK DRUG INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BNV-BBENCKISER NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BUTIBEAUTICONTROL INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CAWWCCA INDUSTRIES 0.00 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.57 (4.38)  26.32 

Acme United Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acme United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acme United using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acme United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Acme United Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Acme United stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acme United Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acme United based on analysis of Acme United hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acme United's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acme United's related companies.
 2019 2020 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share16.6218.7819.6
Asset Turnover1.261.351.23

Story Coverage note for Acme United

The number of cover stories for Acme United depends on current market conditions and Acme United's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acme United is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acme United's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Acme United Short Properties

Acme United's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acme United's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acme United Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acme United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acme United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.28%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.52
Short Percent Of Float0.44%
Float Shares3.08M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.72k
Shares Short Prior Month11.9k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.87k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.58%
Please continue to Acme United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Acme United Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Acme United's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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Is Acme United's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acme United. If investors know Acme United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acme United listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Acme United Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acme United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acme United's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acme United's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acme United's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acme United's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acme United's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Acme United value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acme United's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.