Aci Worldwide Stock Future Price Prediction

ACIW
 Stock
  

USD 26.13  0.30  1.14%   

Aci Worldwide stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Aci Worldwide shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Aci Worldwide's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aci Worldwide and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aci Worldwide's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aci Worldwide, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Aci Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Aci Worldwide based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Aci Worldwide stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Aci Worldwide over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Wall Street Target Price
38.0
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Using Aci Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aci Worldwide from the perspective of Aci Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aci Worldwide using Aci Worldwide's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aci Worldwide using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aci Worldwide's stock price.
Aci Worldwide Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Aci Worldwide reported Asset Turnover of 0.43 in 2021. Current Ratio is likely to climb to 1.41 in 2022, whereas Accrued Expenses Turnover is likely to drop 21.61 in 2022.

Aci Worldwide Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Aci Worldwide's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Aci Worldwide. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Aci Worldwide stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Aci Worldwide may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aci Worldwide and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aci Worldwide with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
30.3
Short Percent
0.0319
Short Ratio
4.3
Shares Short Prior Month
3.2 M
50 Day MA
26.85
Shares Short
3.4 M
Beta
1.06

Aci Worldwide Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Aci Worldwide's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Aci Worldwide. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aci Worldwide can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aci Worldwide. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aci Worldwide's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aci Worldwide.

Aci Worldwide Implied Volatility

    
  11.84  
Aci Worldwide's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aci Worldwide stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aci Worldwide's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aci Worldwide stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aci Worldwide's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Aci Worldwide. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aci Worldwide to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aci Worldwide because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aci Worldwide after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 26.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aci Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aci Worldwide in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.4932.7734.91
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0043.5045.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aci Worldwide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aci Worldwide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aci Worldwide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aci Worldwide.

Aci Worldwide After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aci Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aci Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Aci Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aci Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aci Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aci Worldwide's historical news coverage. Aci Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.97 and 28.25, respectively. We have considered Aci Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 26.13
26.11
After-hype Price
28.25
Upside
Aci Worldwide is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aci Worldwide is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aci Worldwide Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Aci Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aci Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aci Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.08  2.14  0.01   0.05  9 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.1326.110.04 
1,259  

Aci Worldwide Hype Timeline

Aci Worldwide is presently traded for 26.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Aci Worldwide is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 26.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is forecasted to be 0.04% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Aci Worldwide is about 350.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.18. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.41 B. Net Income was 145.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 731.73 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please continue to Aci Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aci Worldwide Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aci Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aci Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how Aci Worldwide rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aci Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Aci Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aci Worldwide price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aci Worldwide using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aci Worldwide charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aci Worldwide Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aci Worldwide stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aci Worldwide, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aci Worldwide based on analysis of Aci Worldwide hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aci Worldwide's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aci Worldwide's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.180.930.82
Interest Coverage2.383.226.26

Story Coverage note for Aci Worldwide

The number of cover stories for Aci Worldwide depends on current market conditions and Aci Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aci Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aci Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aci Worldwide Short Properties

Aci Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aci Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aci Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aci Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aci Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.81%
Short Percent Of Float3.19%
Float Shares113.58M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day709.87k
Shares Short Prior Month3.59M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month686.07k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please continue to Aci Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Aci Worldwide information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aci Worldwide's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Aci Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aci Worldwide. If investors know Aci Worldwide will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aci Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.33
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0494
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Aci Worldwide is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aci Worldwide that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aci Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aci Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aci Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aci Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aci Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aci Worldwide value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aci Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.