Albertsons Stock Future Price Prediction

ACI -  USA Stock  

USD 35.70  0.28  0.78%

Albertsons Companies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Albertsons Companies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Albertsons Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Albertsons Companies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Albertsons Companies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Albertsons Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Albertsons Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Albertsons Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Albertsons Companies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Albertsons stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Albertsons Companies over a specific investment horizon. Using Albertsons Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Albertsons Companies from the perspective of Albertsons Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Albertsons Companies using Albertsons Companies' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Albertsons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Albertsons Companies' stock price.

Albertsons Companies Implied Volatility

    
  53.7  
Albertsons Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Albertsons Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Albertsons Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Albertsons Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Albertsons Companies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Albertsons Companies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Albertsons Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Albertsons because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Albertsons Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 35.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Albertsons Companies in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
32.0134.9437.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
32.4235.3538.28
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.0030.8338.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.222.252.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Albertsons Companies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Albertsons Companies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Albertsons Companies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Albertsons Companies.

Albertsons Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Albertsons Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Albertsons Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Albertsons Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Albertsons Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Albertsons Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Albertsons Companies' historical news coverage. Albertsons Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.85 and 38.71, respectively. We have considered Albertsons Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.70
3rd of December 2021
35.78
After-hype Price
38.71
Upside
Albertsons Companies is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Albertsons Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Albertsons Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Albertsons Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albertsons Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albertsons Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16  2.93  0.07   0.00  8 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.7035.780.20 
636.96  

Albertsons Companies Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December Albertsons Companies is traded for 35.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Albertsons is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 35.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.2% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Albertsons Companies is about 11720.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.7. The company reported the last year's revenue of 68.21 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 554.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.93 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please continue to Albertsons Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Albertsons Companies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Albertsons Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Albertsons Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Albertsons Companies rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Albertsons Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Albertsons Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Albertsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albertsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albertsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Albertsons Companies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Albertsons Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Albertsons Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Albertsons Companies based on analysis of Albertsons Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Albertsons Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Albertsons Companies's related companies.
 2010 2019 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share2.52.653.46
Asset Turnover2.842.652.71

Story Coverage note for Albertsons Companies

The number of cover stories for Albertsons Companies depends on current market conditions and Albertsons Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Albertsons Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Albertsons Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contributor Headline

Latest Perspective on Albertsons Companies

Albertsons Companies Short Properties

Albertsons Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Albertsons Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Albertsons Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.44%
Short Percent Of Float11.95%
Float Shares80.96M
Shares Short Prior Month15.99M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day906.26k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.49M
Date Short Interest30th of July 2021
Please continue to Albertsons Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Albertsons Companies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Albertsons Companies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Albertsons Stock analysis

When running Albertsons Companies price analysis, check to measure Albertsons Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Albertsons Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Albertsons Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Albertsons Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Albertsons Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Albertsons Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Albertsons Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albertsons Companies. If investors know Albertsons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albertsons Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albertsons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albertsons Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albertsons Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albertsons Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albertsons Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albertsons Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Albertsons Companies value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albertsons Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.