AirbnbInc Stock Future Price Prediction

ABNB
 Stock
  

USD 91.50  2.47  2.77%   

AirbnbInc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AirbnbInc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AirbnbInc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AirbnbInc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AirbnbInc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AirbnbInc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to AirbnbInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AirbnbInc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AirbnbInc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AirbnbInc over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.467
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.57
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.77
Wall Street Target Price
131.66
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.47
Using AirbnbInc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AirbnbInc from the perspective of AirbnbInc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AirbnbInc using AirbnbInc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AirbnbInc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AirbnbInc's stock price.

AirbnbInc Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in AirbnbInc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AirbnbInc. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AirbnbInc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long AirbnbInc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AirbnbInc and may potentially protect profits, hedge AirbnbInc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
122.3957
Short Percent
0.0428
Short Ratio
2.2
Shares Short Prior Month
17 M
50 Day MA
105.8098
Shares Short
16.8 M

AirbnbInc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to AirbnbInc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in AirbnbInc. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AirbnbInc can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AirbnbInc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AirbnbInc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AirbnbInc.

AirbnbInc Implied Volatility

    
  71.39  
AirbnbInc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AirbnbInc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AirbnbInc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AirbnbInc stock will not fluctuate a lot when AirbnbInc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AirbnbInc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AirbnbInc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AirbnbInc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AirbnbInc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 91.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AirbnbInc contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AirbnbInc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.46% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With AirbnbInc trading at USD91.5, that is roughly USD4.08. If you think that the market is fully incorporating AirbnbInc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AirbnbInc options at the current volatility level of 71.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AirbnbInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AirbnbInc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
81.86112.50116.44
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.00193.48245.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.280.410.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AirbnbInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AirbnbInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AirbnbInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AirbnbInc.

AirbnbInc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AirbnbInc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AirbnbInc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AirbnbInc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AirbnbInc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AirbnbInc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AirbnbInc's historical news coverage. AirbnbInc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.95 and 95.83, respectively. We have considered AirbnbInc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 91.50
91.89
After-hype Price
95.83
Upside
AirbnbInc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AirbnbInc is based on 3 months time horizon.

AirbnbInc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as AirbnbInc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AirbnbInc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AirbnbInc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38  3.94  0.93    0.27  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.5091.891.02 
161.48  

AirbnbInc Hype Timeline

AirbnbInc is presently traded for 91.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.93 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. AirbnbInc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 91.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 161.48%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.02% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on AirbnbInc is about 546.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 91.23. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (352.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Please continue to AirbnbInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AirbnbInc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AirbnbInc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AirbnbInc's future price movements. Getting to know how AirbnbInc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AirbnbInc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AirbnbInc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AirbnbInc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AirbnbInc using various technical indicators. When you analyze AirbnbInc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AirbnbInc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AirbnbInc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AirbnbInc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AirbnbInc based on analysis of AirbnbInc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AirbnbInc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AirbnbInc's related companies.

Story Coverage note for AirbnbInc

The number of cover stories for AirbnbInc depends on current market conditions and AirbnbInc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AirbnbInc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AirbnbInc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AirbnbInc Short Properties

AirbnbInc's future price predictability will typically decrease when AirbnbInc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AirbnbInc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AirbnbInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AirbnbInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding615891000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments8322476000.00
Please continue to AirbnbInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running AirbnbInc price analysis, check to measure AirbnbInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AirbnbInc is operating at the current time. Most of AirbnbInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AirbnbInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AirbnbInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AirbnbInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AirbnbInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AirbnbInc. If investors know AirbnbInc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AirbnbInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.467
Market Capitalization
59 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.289
Return On Assets
0.0696
Return On Equity
0.3261
The market value of AirbnbInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AirbnbInc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AirbnbInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AirbnbInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AirbnbInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AirbnbInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AirbnbInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AirbnbInc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AirbnbInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.