ABM Industries Stock Future Price Prediction

ABM
 Stock
  

USD 46.29  0.59  1.26%   

ABM Industries Incor stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ABM Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ABM Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ABM Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ABM Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ABM Industries Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to ABM Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ABM Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ABM Industries stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ABM Industries over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.56
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.66
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.71
Wall Street Target Price
58.0
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.27
Using ABM Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ABM Industries Incorporated from the perspective of ABM Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ABM Industries using ABM Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ABM Industries using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ABM Industries' stock price.
ABM Industries Accounts Payable Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accounts Payable Turnover is estimated at 45.39. Accrued Expenses Turnover is expected to hike to 27.23 this year, although the value of Calculated Tax Rate will most likely fall to 25.10.

ABM Industries Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in ABM Industries' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ABM Industries. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ABM Industries stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long ABM Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ABM Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge ABM Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
44.65
Short Percent
0.0381
Short Ratio
7.08
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
42.73
Shares Short
1.8 M

ABM Industries Incor Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ABM Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in ABM Industries. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ABM Industries can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ABM Industries Incorporated. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ABM Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ABM Industries.

ABM Industries Implied Volatility

    
  45.97  
ABM Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ABM Industries Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ABM Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ABM Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when ABM Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ABM Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ABM Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ABM Industries because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ABM Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 47.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ABM Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ABM Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
42.4649.9252.12
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0055.0055.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.323.413.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ABM Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ABM Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ABM Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ABM Industries Incor.

ABM Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ABM Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ABM Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ABM Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ABM Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ABM Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ABM Industries' historical news coverage. ABM Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.11 and 49.51, respectively. We have considered ABM Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 46.29
47.31
After-hype Price
49.51
Upside
ABM Industries is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ABM Industries Incor is based on 3 months time horizon.

ABM Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as ABM Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ABM Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ABM Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.08  2.18  0.13   0.00  4 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.2947.310.28 
132.93  

ABM Industries Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December ABM Industries Incor is traded for 46.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ABM Industries is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 47.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 132.93%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.28% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on ABM Industries is about 3963.64% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 126.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.02 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Please continue to ABM Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ABM Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ABM Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ABM Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how ABM Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ABM Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACCOAcco Brands(0.05) 5 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.45 (4.67)  19.00 
ACTGAcacia Research 0.19 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.51 (2.44)  7.70 
ACUAcme United(0.11) 5 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.93 (3.74)  13.46 
ADTADT Inc(0.06) 7 per month 1.49  0.13  4.24 (3.13)  20.04 
ARCARC Document Solutions(0.02) 1 per month 2.76 (0.0051)  4.84 (4.74)  14.45 
ASGNASGN Inc 0.84 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.06 (3.80)  14.07 
BBSIBarrett Business Services(1.01) 8 per month 1.04  0.13  3.47 (1.90)  8.33 
BGSFBG Staffing 0.66 6 per month 1.37  0.0343  4.10 (2.48)  9.73 

ABM Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ABM Industries price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ABM Industries using various technical indicators. When you analyze ABM Industries charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ABM Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ABM Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ABM Industries Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ABM Industries based on analysis of ABM Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ABM Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ABM Industries's related companies.
 2011 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.540.490.46
Interest Coverage18.554.334.44

Story Coverage note for ABM Industries

The number of cover stories for ABM Industries depends on current market conditions and ABM Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ABM Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ABM Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ABM Industries Short Properties

ABM Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when ABM Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ABM Industries Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ABM Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABM Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments62800000.00
Please continue to ABM Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the ABM Industries Incor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ABM Industries' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for ABM Industries Stock analysis

When running ABM Industries Incor price analysis, check to measure ABM Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ABM Industries is operating at the current time. Most of ABM Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ABM Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ABM Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ABM Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Is ABM Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ABM Industries. If investors know ABM Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ABM Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.56
Market Capitalization
3.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.27
Return On Assets
0.0492
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of ABM Industries Incor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ABM Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ABM Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ABM Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ABM Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ABM Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ABM Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ABM Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ABM Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.